Fri, Dec 22, 2017·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Washington Capitals 2, Arizona Coyotes 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 02 | 19 | 15 | 01 | 217 |
| ARI | 05 | 06 | 210 | 16 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:40WSHT.J. OshieAssists: Jakub Vrana, Evgeny Kuznetsov · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P3 1:28ARIChristian DvorakPPAssists: Alex Goligoski, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P3 4:32WSHEvgeny KuznetsovAssists: Christian Djoos, John Carlson · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–1
- P3 18:59ARIChristian FischerAssists: Clayton Keller, Jason Demers · Wrist, 0.43 xG2–2
- OT 4:33ARIClayton KellerGWGAssists: Max Domi, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.38 xG2–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 16:59ARIDerek Stepan: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:52WSHTaylor Chorney: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 9:58ARIChristian Dvorak: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:09WSHAlex Chiasson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backstrom won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestOshie – Kuznetsov – Vrana10:19
xG 0.87–0.18 (83%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky9:56
xG 0.19–0.34 (36%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Ovechkin – Backstrom – Wilson13:07
xG 0.18–0.38 (33%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Beagle – Chiasson – Stephenson8:29
xG 0.13–0.42 (24%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestNiskanen – Orlov20:10
xG 0.68–0.48 (58%)attempts 21–11goals 1–0
- Carlson – Djoos13:12
xG 0.62–0.47 (57%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
- Orpik – Carlson6:20
xG 0.30–0.26 (54%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Cousins – Martinook7:51
xG 0.32–0.07 (81%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Domi – Fischer – Keller12:05
xG 0.33–0.50 (40%)attempts 7–13goals 0–1
- Stepan – Rieder – Perlini11:51
xG 0.05–0.25 (18%)attempts 3–14goals 0–0
- Rinaldo – Archibald – Dvorak10:49
xG 0.52–0.80 (40%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson18:30
xG 0.43–0.29 (60%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
- Schenn – Connauton12:00
xG 0.26–0.25 (51%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun17:19
xG 0.70–1.18 (37%)attempts 15–19goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).