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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 31, 2017·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Vegas Golden Knights 6

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 58% of the time.

VGK winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:24Goal by Bellemare (Tuch)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Leipsic, Schmidt, Bellemare, Tuch · TOR Moore, Gardiner, Martin, Marincin, Leivo

  3. P1 4:17Goal by Karlsson (Smith, Engelland)+12 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore · TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Brown, Borgman

  4. P1 4:41Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 5:08Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:26McNabb: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Perron, McNabb, Haula, Schmidt, Tuch · TOR Gardiner, Marincin, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  7. P1 5:43Shot by Nosek, saved by Andersen4v5
  8. P1 6:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Subban4v5
  9. P1 7:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Subban4v5
  10. P1 7:22Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Subban4v5
  11. P1 7:58Shot by Moore, saved by Subban
  12. P1 8:32Shot by Marchessault, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 8:47Shot by Marchessault, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 8:51Polak: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Neal, McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt · TOR Polak, Martin, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman

  15. P1 13:24Goal by Haula (Perron, Miller)+7 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Neal, Perron, Haula, Merrill, Miller · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Rielly, Brown

  16. P1 14:18Shot by Bellemare, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 14:43Shot by Bellemare, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 14:44Marincin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Lindberg, Theodore, Bellemare, Nosek · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marincin, Marner

  19. P1 15:42Shot by Marchessault, saved by Andersen5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:33Perron: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Neal, Perron, McNabb, Haula, Schmidt · TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Brown, Borgman

  23. P2 2:18Shot by Marleau, saved by Subban4v5
  24. P2 3:09Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen4v5
  25. P2 4:34Shot by Bozak, saved by Subban
  26. P2 4:42Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 5:07Goal by Marleau (Brown, Komarov)+6 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Rielly, Brown

  28. P2 5:18Shot by Leipsic, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 7:10Shot by Nosek, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 8:26Goal by Karlsson (Marchessault)+6 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Merrill, Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marincin, Marner

  31. P2 8:49Schmidt: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  32. P2 11:27Shot by McNabb, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 13:46Shot by Martin, saved by Subban
  34. P2 14:13Shot by Lindberg, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 14:41Shot by Marleau, saved by Subban
  36. P2 15:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Subban
  37. P2 15:22Shot by Brown, saved by Subban
  38. P2 15:21Shot by Marleau, saved by Subban
  39. P2 15:39Shot by Engelland, saved by Andersen6v5
  40. P2 15:41Gardiner: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Neal, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore · TOR Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown

  41. P2 16:19Shot by Marchessault, saved by Andersen5v4
  42. P2 18:58Shot by Engelland, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 19:12Goal by Matthews (Hyman)+5 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, McNabb, Lindberg, Bellemare, Nosek · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman

  44. P2 19:56Shot by Marner, saved by Subban
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Subban
  48. P3 0:27Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Nylander)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  49. P3 1:54Shot by Martin, saved by Subban
  50. P3 4:47Shot by Eakin, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 5:02Shot by Schmidt, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 5:06Shot by Bellemare, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 6:11Goal by Marchessault (Karlsson, Theodore)+12 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore · TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Brown, Borgman

  54. P3 6:36Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 9:21Shot by Nosek, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 10:24Shot by Hyman, saved by Subban
  57. P3 11:11Shot by Bozak, saved by Subban
  58. P3 11:24Shot by Bozak, saved by Subban
  59. P3 12:44Shot by Lindberg, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 14:15Shot by Tuch, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 16:16Shot by Rielly, saved by Subban
  62. P3 16:13Shot by Nylander, saved by Subban
  63. P3 18:24Goal by Karlsson (Smith, McNabb)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Schmidt, Bellemare · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Nylander, Matthews

  64. P3 18:55Shot by Lindberg, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 19:43Shot by Leivo, saved by Subban
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final