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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 3, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Larkin, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Tatar, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 1:08Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 2:32Shot by Helm, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 3:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard
  7. P1 6:25Shot by Stone, saved by Howard
  8. P1 7:09Shot by Pyatt, saved by Howard
  9. P1 7:23Shot by Nyquist, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 7:51Shot by Nielsen, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 8:35Shot by Mantha, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 10:11Shot by Brassard, saved by Howard
  13. P1 10:30Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 10:42Shot by Brassard, saved by Howard
  15. P1 10:47Shot by Stone, saved by Howard
  16. P1 11:13Shot by Mantha, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 11:15Goal by Athanasiou (Mantha, Frk)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Ouellet, Frk, Athanasiou, Mantha · OTT Oduya, Burrows, Thompson, Karlsson, Dumont

  18. P1 11:25Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard
  19. P1 11:59Shot by Ceci, saved by Howard
  20. P1 12:15Shot by Ceci, saved by Howard
  21. P1 13:17Shot by Oduya, saved by Howard
  22. P1 13:36Shot by Nyquist, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 14:47Shot by Hoffman, saved by Howard
  24. P1 15:35Shot by Chlapik, saved by Howard
  25. P1 16:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Howard
  26. P1 18:39Shot by Pageau, saved by Howard
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:37Shot by Dzingel, saved by Howard
  30. P2 1:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  31. P2 2:26Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 2:38Shot by Brassard, saved by Howard
  33. P2 3:28Shot by Hoffman, saved by Howard
  34. P2 3:29Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Frk, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci

  35. P2 3:29Green: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Frk, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci

  36. P2 5:21Shot by Brassard, saved by Howard4v4
  37. P2 5:41Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard
  38. P2 6:32Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 6:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  40. P2 7:07Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 7:21Shot by Frk, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 9:34Shot by Ceci, saved by Howard
  43. P2 9:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 10:58Shot by Nielsen, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 11:30Chlapik: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Helm, Tatar, Jensen · OTT Burrows, Dumont, Claesson, Ceci, Chlapik

  46. P2 12:10Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard
  47. P2 13:23Green: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Tatar, DeKeyser, Larkin · OTT Oduya, Phaneuf, Brassard, Hoffman, Duchene

  48. P2 13:35Shot by Daley, saved by Anderson4v5
  49. P2 14:00Shot by Hoffman, saved by Howard4v5
  50. P2 15:42Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 16:40Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 18:32Shot by Oduya, saved by Howard
  53. P2 18:42Shot by Green, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P2 17:43Shot by Tatar, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:30Shot by Ceci, saved by Howard
  58. P3 0:39Goal by Dzingel, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci

  59. P3 0:47Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard
  60. P3 1:20Shot by Tatar, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 1:31Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 1:34Shot by Jensen, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 5:14Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 5:38Shot by Pageau, saved by Howard
  65. P3 6:24Shot by Mantha, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 7:39Shot by Daley, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 10:39Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 10:41Phaneuf: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Jensen, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin · OTT Phaneuf, Thompson, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci

  69. P3 10:41Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersonother
  70. P3 10:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Howard
  71. P3 11:57Shot by Brassard, saved by Howard
  72. P3 14:24Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard
  73. P3 15:03Shot by Chabot, saved by Howard
  74. P3 17:54Shot by Tatar, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 18:22Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard
  76. P3 18:34Shot by Nyquist, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 19:30Shot by Helm, saved by Anderson
  78. P3 19:32Shot by Helm, saved by Anderson
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 0:06Goal by Athanasiou (Larkin)3v3+43 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Athanasiou, Larkin · OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau

  82. OT 0:06Period end3v3
  83. OT 0:06Final3v3