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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 9, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Chicago Blackhawks 8, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 78% of the time.

OTT winsCHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Toews, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 1:44Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 3:02Shot by Pageau, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 4:04Shot by Ryan, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 5:06Shot by Panik, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 5:28Shot by Toews, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 6:47Shot by Forsling, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 6:54Shot by Keith, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 7:03Shot by Hoffman, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 7:27Shot by Sharp, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 8:12Shot by Panik, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 8:26Shot by Toews, saved by Anderson5v6
  15. P1 8:27Burrows: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Dumont, Ceci, White · CHI Toews, Bouma, Wingels, Panik, Forsling, Rutta

  16. P1 9:47Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson4v5
  17. P1 10:03Shot by Keith, saved by Anderson4v5
  18. P1 10:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Forsberg4v5
  19. P1 10:40Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 11:02Shot by Claesson, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 13:16Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 14:48Shot by Ryan, saved by Forsberg
  23. P1 15:03Shot by Sharp, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 15:48Shot by Murphy, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 16:04Shot by Saad, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 18:51Goal by Panik (Kempny, Murphy)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci · CHI Bouma, Wingels, Panik, Murphy, Kempny

  27. P1 19:00Shot by Chabot, saved by Forsberg
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:15Shot by Oesterle, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 1:11Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 1:46Shot by Kampf, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 1:59Shot by Murphy, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 4:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Forsberg
  35. P2 5:14Goal by Sharp (Kane, Kampf)+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Chabot · CHI Sharp, Kane, Murphy, Kempny, Kampf

  36. P2 7:40Brassard: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel, Chabot · CHI Sharp, Kane, Murphy, Hartman, Schmaltz, Kempny

  37. P2 8:14Shot by Oesterle, saved by Anderson4v5
  38. P2 8:15Goal by Schmaltz (Oesterle, Kane)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci · CHI Sharp, Toews, Kane, Oesterle, Schmaltz

  39. P2 9:39Shot by White, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 9:51Shot by Oesterle, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 9:53Goal by Toews (Oesterle, Keith)+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel, Chabot · CHI Keith, Toews, Saad, Hinostroza, Oesterle

  42. P2 10:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 10:23Shot by Chabot, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 10:29Shot by Stone, saved by Forsberg
  45. P2 10:35Goal by Stone, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel, Chabot · CHI Kane, Hartman, Schmaltz, Forsling, Rutta

  46. P2 11:36Shot by Panik, saved by Condon
  47. P2 11:37Shot by Panik, saved by Condon
  48. P2 13:03Shot by Pyatt, saved by Forsberg
  49. P2 14:28Rutta: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Stone, Dzingel, Claesson, Ceci, White · CHI Bouma, Wingels, Panik, Forsling, Rutta

  50. P2 16:39Goal by Brassard (Stone, Ceci)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone, Ceci · CHI Keith, Kane, Hartman, Oesterle, Schmaltz

  51. P2 17:11Smith: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau, Chabot · CHI Keith, Kane, Hartman, Oesterle, Schmaltz

  52. P2 17:33Goal by Schmaltz (Sharp, Kane)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci · CHI Sharp, Toews, Kane, Oesterle, Schmaltz

  53. P2 18:01Karlsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Chabot · CHI Sharp, Keith, DeBrincat, Kampf, Rutta

  54. P2 18:56Shot by Toews, saved by Condon4v5
  55. P2 19:00Shot by Stone, saved by Forsberg4v5
  56. P2 19:07Goal by Rutta (Kane, Forsberg)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Stone, Harpur · CHI Keith, Toews, Kane, Saad, Rutta

  57. P2 19:27Panik: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Claesson, Harpur · CHI Bouma, Wingels, Panik, Murphy, Kempny

  58. P2 19:54Shot by Chabot, saved by Forsberg5v4
  59. P2 19:55Shot by Stone, saved by Forsberg5v4
  60. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:34Shot by Stone, saved by Forsberg5v4
  63. P3 0:46Shot by Saad, saved by Condon5v4
  64. P3 2:13Shot by Wingels, saved by Condon
  65. P3 3:04Shot by Saad, saved by Condon
  66. P3 3:24Goal by Toews (Hinostroza)+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel, Chabot · CHI Keith, Toews, Saad, Hinostroza, Oesterle

  67. P3 3:42Shot by Murphy, saved by Condon
  68. P3 5:25Shot by Bouma, saved by Condon
  69. P3 6:12Shot by Kempny, saved by Condon
  70. P3 6:24Harpur: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Dumont, Dzingel, Harpur, Chabot · CHI Kane, Murphy, Hartman, Schmaltz, Kempny

  71. P3 6:24Kempny: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Dumont, Dzingel, Harpur, Chabot · CHI Kane, Murphy, Hartman, Schmaltz, Kempny

  72. P3 7:21Saad: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Hoffman, Duchene, Claesson, Ceci · CHI Toews, Saad, Forsling, Rutta

  73. P3 7:40Shot by Stone, saved by Forsberg4v3
  74. P3 7:56Shot by Stone, saved by Forsberg4v3
  75. P3 8:34Shot by Dzingel, saved by Forsberg5v4
  76. P3 8:46Shot by Hoffman, saved by Forsberg5v4
  77. P3 9:08Shot by Bouma, saved by Condon5v4
  78. P3 9:08Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Hoffman, Duchene, Chabot · CHI Toews, Bouma, Oesterle, Forsling

  79. P3 9:21Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Condon4v4
  80. P3 10:01Goal by Kane (Keith, Schmaltz)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur · CHI Sharp, Keith, Kane, Oesterle, Schmaltz

  81. P3 10:38Kempny: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Dumont, Claesson, White, Chabot · CHI Bouma, Wingels, Panik, Murphy, Kempny

  82. P3 11:45Shot by Karlsson, saved by Forsberg5v4
  83. P3 12:14Shot by Duchene, saved by Forsberg5v4
  84. P3 14:22Shot by Toews, saved by Condon
  85. P3 14:23Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Condon
  86. P3 15:35Shot by Dumont, saved by Forsberg
  87. P3 17:44Stone: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Stone, Dzingel, Claesson, Ceci · CHI Toews, Saad, Hinostroza, Oesterle, Kempny

  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final