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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 18, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

St. Louis Blues 4, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 85% of the time.

OTT winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Steen, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:23Shot by Ceci, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 1:37Shot by Hoffman, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 2:12Shot by Duchene, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 3:45Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 3:52Shot by Dzingel, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 9:45Shot by Dunn, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 11:15Shot by Brodziak, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 12:12Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hutton
  11. P1 12:44Shot by Jaskin, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 15:24Shot by Dzingel, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 16:37Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 16:56Shot by Parayko, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 17:35Dzingel: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Thompson, Smith, Karlsson, Stone · STL Berglund, Tarasenko, Edmundson, Dunn, Thompson

  16. P1 19:21Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Anderson4v5
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:05Shot by Parayko, saved by Anderson
  20. P2 2:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Anderson
  21. P2 2:58Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Anderson
  22. P2 4:21Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  23. P2 4:36Shot by Berglund, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 5:43Thorburn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Chabot · STL Thorburn, Bouwmeester, Brodziak, Paajarvi, Parayko

  25. P2 5:43Borowiecki: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Chabot · STL Thorburn, Bouwmeester, Brodziak, Paajarvi, Parayko

  26. P2 6:13Goal by Tarasenko (Bortuzzo, Stastny)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Thompson, Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson · STL Stastny, Bortuzzo, Tarasenko, Barbashev, Dunn

  27. P2 6:53Shot by Jaskin, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 7:31Shot by Duchene, saved by Hutton
  29. P2 8:16Shot by Chlapik, saved by Hutton
  30. P2 8:46Shot by Brassard, saved by Hutton
  31. P2 10:38Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 11:19Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 12:30Shot by Berglund, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 12:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 12:51Goal by Pietrangelo, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Chabot · STL Sobotka, Berglund, Pietrangelo, Edmundson, Thompson

  36. P2 13:27Shot by Jaskin, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 14:20Shot by Brodziak, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 14:21Shot by Brodziak, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 15:43Shot by Thompson, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 16:53Goal by Schenn (Steen, Dunn)+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci · STL Steen, Bortuzzo, Schenn, Jaskin, Dunn

  41. P2 17:21Goal by Ryan (Duchene, Ceci)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci · STL Steen, Bortuzzo, Schenn, Jaskin, Dunn

  42. P2 17:45Shot by Burrows, saved by Hutton
  43. P2 17:57Thorburn: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Borowiecki, Dumont, Chlapik · STL Thorburn, Brodziak, Pietrangelo, Paajarvi, Edmundson

  44. P2 17:57Brodziak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Borowiecki, Dumont, Chlapik · STL Thorburn, Brodziak, Pietrangelo, Paajarvi, Edmundson

  45. P2 17:57Borowiecki: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Phaneuf, Borowiecki, Dumont, Chlapik · STL Thorburn, Brodziak, Pietrangelo, Paajarvi, Edmundson

  46. P2 18:38Shot by Ryan, saved by Hutton5v4
  47. P2 19:15Shot by Sobotka, saved by Anderson5v4
  48. P2 19:16Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Anderson5v4
  49. P2 19:17Karlsson: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel · STL Sobotka, Paajarvi, Edmundson, Parayko

  50. P2 19:48Brassard: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Stone, Ceci, Chabot · STL Stastny, Schenn, Tarasenko, Parayko, Dunn

  51. P2 0:00Period end3v5
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:22Shot by Dunn, saved by Anderson4v5
  54. P3 1:55Shot by Brassard, saved by Hutton
  55. P3 2:33Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 5:21Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 5:37Shot by Parayko, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 5:52Shot by Brassard, saved by Hutton
  59. P3 5:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hutton
  60. P3 8:09Shot by Dzingel, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 10:37Shot by Steen, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 10:39Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 11:34Shot by Stastny, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 12:58Shot by Steen, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 13:58Shot by Edmundson, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 14:50Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Hutton
  67. P3 15:19Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 15:32Parayko: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci · STL Bouwmeester, Stastny, Tarasenko, Parayko, Barbashev

  69. P3 15:43Shot by Stone, saved by Hutton5v4
  70. P3 15:49Shot by Dzingel, saved by Hutton5v4
  71. P3 18:42Goal by Steen (Schenn)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Dzingel · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Schenn, Paajarvi, Parayko

  72. P3 19:13Shot by Dumont, saved by Hutton
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final