Sat, Jan 20, 2018·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Arizona Coyotes 5, St. Louis Blues 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 423 | 18 | 013 | 544 |
| STL | 07 | 18 | 112 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:53ARIZac RinaldoAssists: Christian Fischer, Max Domi · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P1 4:02ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Jason Demers, Clayton Keller · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–0
- P1 7:06ARIChristian DvorakGWGAssists: Tobias Rieder, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–0
- P1 13:15ARIBrendan PerliniAssists: Richard Panik, Luke Schenn · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–0
- P2 4:33ARIChristian FischerPPAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Max Domi · Tip-in, 0.11 xG5–0
- P2 9:27STLBrayden SchennPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG5–1
- P3 9:44STLAlexander SteenPPAssists: Patrik Berglund, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–2
Penalties (8)
- P2 2:37STLPatrik Berglund: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:49ARIJason Demers: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:00STLJoel Edmundson: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:07ARIChristian Fischer: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:32ARIChristian Dvorak: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 10:54STLKyle Brodziak: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:54STLKyle Brodziak: Fighting5 min
- P3 10:54ARIZac Rinaldo: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Berglund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRieder – Dvorak – Keller9:02
xG 1.08–0.17 (87%)attempts 19–9goals 2–0
- Rinaldo – Domi – Fischer10:26
xG 0.89–0.26 (78%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Richardson – Cousins – Martinook11:43
xG 0.45–0.05 (90%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Stepan – Panik – Perlini10:40
xG 0.49–0.14 (77%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson15:02
xG 1.28–0.26 (83%)attempts 23–12goals 2–0
- Goligoski – Schenn14:48
xG 0.75–0.30 (72%)attempts 12–17goals 2–0
- Hjalmarsson – Chychrun14:01
xG 0.67–0.31 (68%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestStastny – Tarasenko – Thompson3:19
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Stastny – Barbashev – Thompson4:19
xG 0.11–0.06 (63%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Sobotka – Berglund – Paajarvi2:04
xG 0.01–0.14 (9%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Sobotka – Berglund – Thompson3:06
xG 0.12–0.31 (28%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Bouwmeester – Parayko5:32
xG 0.10–0.11 (47%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Parayko – Dunn8:40
xG 0.29–0.31 (48%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo2:36
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).