Thu, Jan 25, 2018·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 08 | 012 | 27 | 227 |
| ARI | 010 | 015 | 114 | 139 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 1:19CBJAlexander WennbergPPAssists: Seth Jones, Zach Werenski · Slap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P3 7:39ARIBrendan PerliniPPAssists: Christian Dvorak, Derek Stepan · Wrist, 0.39 xG1–1
- P3 16:57CBJCam AtkinsonGWGAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
Penalties (4)
- P2 19:05CBJArtemi Panarin: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:05ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:17ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:44CBJJosh Anderson: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubois won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Panarin – Dubois15:16
xG 1.17–0.42 (73%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Schroeder – Sedlak5:29
xG 0.12–0.20 (38%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Wennberg14:50
xG 0.22–0.32 (41%)attempts 10–19goals 1–0
- Calvert – Jenner – Bjorkstrand14:12
xG 0.29–0.46 (38%)attempts 9–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Werenski19:35
xG 1.14–0.74 (61%)attempts 20–24goals 1–0
- Johnson – Nutivaara16:35
xG 0.49–0.50 (49%)attempts 9–18goals 0–0
- Savard – Kukan11:28
xG 0.08–0.29 (21%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Cousins – Martinook4:33
xG 0.12–0.03 (80%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Rieder – Dvorak – Keller8:48
xG 0.31–0.22 (59%)attempts 13–4goals 0–1
- Cousins – Martinook – Domi2:18
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Rieder – Domi – Keller2:04
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – Chychrun17:34
xG 0.63–0.33 (66%)attempts 22–10goals 0–1
- Schenn – Connauton10:52
xG 0.37–0.24 (61%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Schenn – Chychrun2:28
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).