Thu, Feb 1, 2018·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 3, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 29 | 110 | 06 | 325 |
| NJD | 26 | 07 | 29 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:42NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Pavel Zacha, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 6:47PHIClaude GirouxPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Wayne Simmonds · Snap, 0.24 xG1–1
- P1 13:49NJDDrew StaffordPPAssists: John Moore, Sami Vatanen · Tip-in, 0.38 xG1–2
- P1 15:46PHIWayne SimmondsPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Shayne Gostisbehere · Backhand, 0.40 xG2–2
- P2 7:01PHIShayne GostisbehereAssists: Valtteri Filppula, Taylor Leier · Snap, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 11:00NJDDamon SeversonAssists: Pavel Zacha, Kyle Palmieri · Snap, 0.16 xG3–3
- P3 18:33NJDNico HischierGWGAssists: Blake Coleman, Ben Lovejoy · Tip-in, 0.09 xG3–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:57PHINolan Patrick: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 5:31NJDMirco Mueller: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 6:31NJDTravis Zajac: Cross checking2 min
- P1 12:47PHIRadko Gudas: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 12:47NJDDamon Severson: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 12:47PHIBrandon Manning: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:47PHIJakub Voracek: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:47NJDTaylor Hall: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:48PHIRadko Gudas: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:48NJDTravis Zajac: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:48NJDTravis Zajac: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:03PHIMichael Raffl: Interference2 min
- P2 15:46PHITravis Konecny: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Patrick won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Simmonds – Patrick10:31
xG 0.42–0.24 (64%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Weal – Laughton – Raffl11:02
xG 0.33–0.22 (60%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Filppula – Lehtera – Leier7:32
xG 0.28–0.24 (54%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny10:26
xG 0.28–0.39 (42%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Provorov15:22
xG 0.51–0.33 (61%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Manning – Gudas11:49
xG 0.45–0.38 (54%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- MacDonald – Hagg13:26
xG 0.29–0.66 (30%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Wood – Zacha8:17
xG 0.56–0.06 (90%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Boyle – Coleman – Noesen2:06
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Boyle – Stafford – Hall3:14
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Hall – Bratt – Hischier7:57
xG 0.16–0.27 (38%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Lovejoy2:55
xG 0.28–0.03 (90%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Moore – Vatanen3:12
xG 0.32–0.12 (72%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Mueller6:13
xG 0.14–0.02 (89%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).