Sat, Feb 3, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 0, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 09 | 010 | 08 | 027 |
| LAK | 112 | 315 | 28 | 635 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:14LAKAlex IafalloGWGAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 2:37LAKTrevor LewisSHAssists: Torrey Mitchell, Jake Muzzin · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 5:12LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Dustin Brown · Snap, 0.09 xG0–3
- P2 18:46LAKJake MuzzinPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.02 xG0–4
- P3 6:22LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Kevin Gravel, Alex Iafallo · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–5
- P3 16:45LAKDustin BrownAssists: Paul LaDue, Jake Muzzin · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:53LAKTorrey Mitchell: Interference2 min
- P1 2:09ARIAlex Goligoski: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:00LAKTyler Toffoli: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:41ARILuke Schenn: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 6:48LAKTanner Pearson: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:48ARIMax Domi: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Rieder – Martinook2:55
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Stepan – Perlini – Keller5:01
xG 0.15–0.10 (59%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
- Stepan – Panik – Perlini10:00
xG 0.36–0.55 (39%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
- Richardson – Archibald – Martinook7:03
xG 0.23–0.44 (34%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Goligoski – Ekman-Larsson18:29
xG 0.52–0.61 (46%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Chychrun14:10
xG 0.27–0.41 (39%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
- Schenn – Connauton13:12
xG 0.65–0.94 (41%)attempts 15–12goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Toffoli – Iafallo14:33
xG 1.11–0.38 (75%)attempts 18–10goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Lewis – Clifford13:06
xG 0.55–0.16 (78%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Andreoff – Brodzinski – Amadio7:36
xG 0.29–0.16 (64%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Brown – Pearson – Kempe11:55
xG 0.42–0.78 (35%)attempts 9–13goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – LaDue18:14
xG 1.02–0.43 (71%)attempts 19–11goals 2–0
- Gravel – Folin15:11
xG 0.95–0.49 (66%)attempts 15–16goals 2–0
- Doughty – Forbort17:29
xG 0.90–0.49 (65%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).