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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 6, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.

PIT winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Crosby, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 0:58Shot by Maatta, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 1:07Malkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl · VGK Engelland, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore

  5. P1 2:09Goal by Karlsson (Marchessault, Smith)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cole, Hagelin, Kuhnhackl, Oleksiak · VGK Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch

  6. P1 2:04Shot by Karlsson, saved by Murray4v5
  7. P1 4:17Shot by Haula, saved by Murray
  8. P1 4:34Shot by Haula, saved by Murray
  9. P1 5:33Shot by Letang, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 6:24Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  11. P1 9:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 10:54Shot by Sheahan, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 11:23Shot by Eakin, saved by Murray
  14. P1 12:37Shot by Schultz, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 12:38Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Schultz, Rust, Simon · VGK Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Hunt, Theodore

  16. P1 12:46Shot by Carpenter, saved by Murray5v4
  17. P1 14:28Shot by Simon, saved by Fleury5v4
  18. P1 15:37Shot by Guentzel, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 16:16Shot by Rust, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 16:25Shot by Schmidt, saved by Murray
  21. P1 17:11Shot by Neal, saved by Murray
  22. P1 18:23Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 18:32Shot by Sheahan, saved by Fleury
  24. P1 19:40Shot by Maatta, saved by Fleury
  25. P1 19:58Shot by Marchessault, saved by Murray
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:53Simon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Maatta, Simon · VGK Engelland, Neal, Perron, Haula, Theodore

  29. P2 2:04Shot by Sheahan, saved by Fleury4v5
  30. P2 3:06Shot by Simon, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 3:49Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  32. P2 3:55Shot by Engelland, saved by Murray
  33. P2 6:34Goal by Neal (Schmidt, Perron)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · VGK Neal, Perron, McNabb, Haula, Schmidt

  34. P2 7:31Shot by Karlsson, saved by Murray
  35. P2 7:52Shot by Kessel, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 7:56Schmidt: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin, Oleksiak · VGK McNabb, Schmidt, Carpenter, Bellemare, Tuch

  37. P2 10:01Shot by Letang, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 11:08Goal by Reaves (Sheahan)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Reaves, Cole, Hagelin, Schultz, Sheahan · VGK Neal, Perron, Haula, Hunt, Theodore

  39. P2 11:34Shot by Schmidt, saved by Murray
  40. P2 11:35Simon: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Cole, Schultz, Guentzel, Simon · VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt

  41. P2 13:59Schmidt: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel, Aston-Reese · VGK Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt, Theodore, Carpenter

  42. P2 14:38Shot by Malkin, saved by Fleury5v4
  43. P2 16:47Shot by Hagelin, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 16:59Shot by Neal, saved by Murray
  45. P2 17:24Goal by Cole (Rust, Crosby)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Cole, Rust, Oleksiak, Simon · VGK Engelland, Neal, Perron, Haula, Hunt

  46. P2 17:51Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  47. P2 18:36Shot by Crosby, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 18:40Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Dumoulin)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · VGK McNabb, Smith, Schmidt, Bellemare, Tuch

  49. P2 19:05Shot by Engelland, saved by Murray
  50. P2 19:55Shot by Cole, saved by Fleury
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 2:26Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Fleury
  54. P3 2:27Shot by Reaves, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 2:42Shot by Letang, saved by Fleury
  56. P3 3:09Goal by Malkin (Kessel)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · VGK Engelland, Lindberg, Theodore, Bellemare, Tuch

  57. P3 5:05Shot by Crosby, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 5:48Shot by Marchessault, saved by Murray
  59. P3 5:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 6:20Goal by Kessel (Malkin, Hagelin)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin, Oleksiak · VGK Eakin, Lindberg, Miller, Leipsic, Theodore

  61. P3 6:36Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  62. P3 6:38Goal by Carpenter (Tuch, Bellemare)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Reaves, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Aston-Reese · VGK Engelland, Hunt, Carpenter, Bellemare, Tuch

  63. P3 7:07Shot by Crosby, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 7:41Shot by Hagelin, saved by Fleury
  65. P3 7:45Haula: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin, Oleksiak · VGK Engelland, Neal, Perron, Haula, Theodore

  66. P3 8:11Shot by Malkin, saved by Fleury5v4
  67. P3 11:21Shot by Engelland, saved by Murray
  68. P3 12:01Goal by Marchessault (Smith)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin · VGK McNabb, Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt

  69. P3 14:37Shot by Schmidt, saved by Murray
  70. P3 15:57Shot by Sheahan, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 16:15Shot by Reaves, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 17:11Shot by Hagelin, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 17:17Shot by Hagelin, saved by Fleury
  74. P3 17:21Shot by Malkin, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 17:38Shot by Haula, saved by Murray
  76. P3 19:43Miller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Rust · VGK Neal, Perron, Haula, Miller, Marchessault, Theodore

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final