Tue, Feb 6, 2018·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Arizona Coyotes 3, Winnipeg Jets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 27 | 07 | 110 | 324 |
| WPG | 311 | 18 | 04 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:30WPGJack RoslovicAssists: Toby Enstrom, Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 4:25ARIKevin ConnautonAssists: Josh Archibald, Christian Dvorak · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P1 7:56WPGDustin ByfuglienAssists: Bryan Little, Mathieu Perreault · Slap, 0.37 xG1–2
- P1 14:28WPGNic PetanAssists: Ben Chiarot, Marko Dano · Deflected, 0.07 xG1–3
- P1 17:07ARIChristian DvorakPPAssists: Derek Stepan, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–3
- P2 2:16WPGDmitry KulikovGWGAssists: Kyle Connor, Andrew Copp · Slap, 0.04 xG2–4
- P3 0:55ARIDerek StepanAssists: Alex Goligoski · Deflected, 0.12 xG3–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:13ARIMax Domi: Cross checking2 min
- P1 10:46ARIDerek Stepan: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:10WPGBrendan Lemieux: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 6:37ARIKevin Connauton: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:26WPGNic Petan: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:27ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:01WPGBlake Wheeler: Holding2 min
- P3 13:15WPGNic Petan: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Domi won the faceoff against Wheeler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Richardson – Cousins – Martinook8:20
xG 0.02–0.23 (9%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
- Rinaldo – Domi – Fischer7:52
xG 0.05–0.26 (17%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Panik – Archibald – Dvorak8:48
xG 0.13–0.46 (22%)attempts 6–8goals 1–1
- Stepan – Perlini – Keller9:28
xG 0.21–0.80 (21%)attempts 7–6goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun6:02
xG 0.23–0.04 (84%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Schenn – Connauton8:19
xG 0.12–0.11 (52%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Hjalmarsson – Ekman-Larsson4:23
xG 0.00–0.14 (3%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLittle – Perreault – Ehlers9:08
xG 0.83–0.22 (79%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Dano – Petan – Lemieux7:00
xG 0.63–0.10 (86%)attempts 7–1goals 1–0
- Armia – Copp – Connor8:47
xG 0.31–0.07 (81%)attempts 8–4goals 0–1
- Wheeler – Roslovic – Laine9:21
xG 0.13–0.05 (73%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Byfuglien15:41
xG 0.50–0.09 (85%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Kulikov – Chiarot11:59
xG 0.63–0.25 (72%)attempts 11–6goals 2–1
- Myers – Morrissey11:30
xG 0.07–0.26 (20%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).