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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 1:55Goal by Marner, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · OTT Oduya, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone, Dzingel

  5. P1 2:29Shot by DiDomenico, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:28Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 5:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 5:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 7:00Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 7:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 9:07Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 9:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 9:25Goal by Matthews (Nylander)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Phaneuf, DiDomenico, Paajarvi, Stone, Ceci

  14. P1 10:18Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 11:30Goal by Marner (Marleau, Kadri)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Claesson, White

  16. P1 13:24Gardiner: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Oduya, DiDomenico, Karlsson, Duchene, Dzingel

  17. P1 14:10DiDomenico: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Brown, Kapanen, Zaitsev · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, DiDomenico, Karlsson, Dzingel

  18. P1 14:40Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon4v4
  19. P1 17:16Borowiecki: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Moore, Hyman, Carrick, Kapanen, Dermott · OTT Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  20. P1 18:03Shot by Marleau, saved by Condon5v4
  21. P1 19:46Shot by Kapanen, saved by Condon
  22. P1 19:58Shot by Dermott, saved by Condon
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:21Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 0:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 1:34Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  28. P2 1:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  29. P2 1:43Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  30. P2 1:46Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  31. P2 2:57Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 3:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Condon
  33. P2 3:37Shot by Gardiner, saved by Condon
  34. P2 3:56Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 4:38Shot by Kadri, saved by Condon
  36. P2 5:11Shot by Moore, saved by Condon
  37. P2 5:45Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 6:31Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 7:17Shot by Hyman, saved by Condon
  40. P2 7:47Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 8:32Goal by Oduya (Stone, Chabot)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Moore, van Riemsdyk, Rielly, Kapanen · OTT Oduya, Brassard, Smith, Stone, Chabot

  42. P2 8:41Shot by Marner, saved by Condon
  43. P2 9:18Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 9:55Hainsey: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · OTT Phaneuf, DiDomenico, Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau

  45. P2 11:34Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen4v5
  46. P2 12:03Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 12:53Shot by Marleau, saved by Condon
  48. P2 12:58Pyatt: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Brown, Dermott · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Karlsson, Paajarvi, Pageau

  49. P2 13:51Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner, Rielly)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · OTT Phaneuf, Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci

  50. P2 14:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 18:27Shot by Marner, saved by Condon
  52. P2 18:31Shot by Marleau, saved by Condon
  53. P2 19:08Shot by Carrick, saved by Condon
  54. P2 19:57Shot by Dermott, saved by Condon
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:24Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 0:45Goal by Brassard (Phaneuf, Stone)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Stone

  59. P3 1:06Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 1:34Shot by White, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 2:03Shot by Kapanen, saved by Condon
  62. P3 2:14Shot by Brassard, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 2:29Goal by Kadri (Marner, Marleau)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · OTT Phaneuf, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel

  64. P3 2:55Shot by Chabot, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 4:47Shot by Gardiner, saved by Condon
  66. P3 7:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Condon
  67. P3 8:41Shot by Hainsey, saved by Condon
  68. P3 9:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Condon
  69. P3 9:25Shot by Brown, saved by Condon
  70. P3 10:52Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 11:29Shot by Marleau, saved by Condon
  72. P3 13:32Goal by Dzingel (Pageau, Borowiecki)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Brown, Dermott · OTT Pyatt, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  73. P3 16:15Shot by Marleau, saved by Condon
  74. P3 18:21Shot by Chabot, saved by Andersen5v6
  75. P3 18:38Goal by Marleau (Marner)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone, Chabot

  76. P3 19:15Shot by Dermott, saved by Condon
  77. P3 19:32Brassard: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Kadri, Carrick, Dermott, Marner · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Duchene, Stone, Chabot

  78. P3 19:57Pageau: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Kadri, Carrick, Dermott, Marner · OTT Phaneuf, Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci

  79. P3 0:00Period end5v3
  80. P3 0:00Final5v3