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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 19, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Washington Capitals

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 0:45Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Connolly, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 2:04Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 3:30Shot by Niskanen, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 3:46Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 3:55Shot by Oshie, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 4:11Shot by Vrana, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 4:53Shot by Falk, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 7:41Shot by Larsson, saved by Grubauer
  12. P1 8:56Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Grubauer
  13. P1 9:38Shot by Niskanen, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 10:12Shot by Stephenson, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 10:45Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 12:02Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 15:13Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 16:20Shot by Josefson, saved by Grubauer
  19. P1 16:30Shot by Reinhart, saved by Grubauer
  20. P1 16:46Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Johnson
  21. P1 16:48Shot by Eller, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 17:34Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Johnson
  23. P1 17:51Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Johnson
  24. P1 17:53Larsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Larsson, Girgensons, Rodrigues, Nelson · WSH Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Djoos, Vrana

  25. P1 18:20Shot by Carlson, saved by Johnson4v5
  26. P1 18:54Connolly: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Josefson, Wilson, Ristolainen · WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Connolly

  27. P1 19:45Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Grubauer4v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:18Goal by Ovechkin (Djoos, Carlson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Josefson, Baptiste, Ristolainen, Reinhart · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Djoos

  31. P2 2:24Shot by Bowey, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 2:51Shot by Wilson, saved by Grubauer
  33. P2 3:51Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 4:45Shot by Vrana, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 6:24Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 6:33Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 7:14Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 9:19Shot by Wilson, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 11:17Shot by Orpik, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 13:09Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 13:33Goal by Carlson (Oshie, Vrana)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Falk, Wilson, Beaulieu, Rodrigues · WSH Oshie, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Vrana

  42. P2 13:33Kuznetsov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Falk, Wilson, Beaulieu, Rodrigues · WSH Oshie, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Vrana

  43. P2 16:16Shot by Djoos, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 17:41Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 19:29Shot by Okposo, saved by Grubauer
  46. P2 19:47Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Johnson
  47. P2 19:49Shot by Orlov, saved by Johnson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:12Shot by Backstrom, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 0:23Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  52. P3 0:43Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grubauer
  53. P3 1:01Shot by Backstrom, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 2:30Shot by Orpik, saved by Johnson
  55. P3 3:46Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grubauer
  56. P3 4:14Backstrom: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Kane, Beaulieu, Ristolainen, Reinhart · WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Wilson

  57. P3 5:15Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Grubauer5v4
  58. P3 5:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Grubauer5v4
  59. P3 6:19Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer
  60. P3 6:56Shot by Wilson, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 7:07Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 8:27Shot by Backstrom, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 10:38Shot by Josefson, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 11:28Shot by Reinhart, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 11:31Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Grubauer
  66. P3 12:42Goal by Okposo (Wilson, Rodrigues)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Okposo, Wilson, Rodrigues, Nelson · WSH Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Burakovsky, Bowey

  67. P3 13:17Shot by Scandella, saved by Grubauer
  68. P3 14:31Shot by Reinhart, saved by Grubauer
  69. P3 15:10Shot by Orlov, saved by Johnson
  70. P3 16:11Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  71. P3 18:45Shot by Kane, saved by Grubauer6v5
  72. P3 19:34Goal by Kuznetsov, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov

  73. P3 19:56Goal by Kane (O'Reilly, Reinhart)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson

  74. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  75. P3 0:00Final6v5