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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 20, 2018·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Colorado Avalanche 5, Vancouver Canucks 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.

VAN winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Nilsson
  3. P1 2:26Shot by Comeau, saved by Nilsson
  4. P1 2:37Shot by Yakupov, saved by Nilsson
  5. P1 3:00Shot by Nemeth, saved by Nilsson
  6. P1 3:58Shot by Siemens, saved by Nilsson
  7. P1 5:19Shot by Compher, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 5:59Shot by Barrie, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 6:03Shot by Girard, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Sedin, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 7:24Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 7:26MacKinnon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Edler, Sutter, Archibald, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  13. P1 8:52Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov5v4
  14. P1 11:10Baertschi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Del Zotto, Baertschi, Horvat, Boeser, Stecher · COL Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov

  15. P1 12:03Shot by Sutter, saved by Varlamov4v5
  16. P1 12:30Shot by Girard, saved by Nilsson4v5
  17. P1 14:35Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Nilsson
  18. P1 15:23Shot by Nieto, saved by Nilsson
  19. P1 15:41Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 15:46Shot by Sutter, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 15:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Nilsson
  22. P1 17:03Shot by Dowd, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 17:04Shot by Dowd, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 19:42Shot by Edler, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:34Goal by Archibald (Sutter, Eriksson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Edler, Sutter, Archibald, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  28. P2 1:38Shot by Siemens, saved by Nilsson
  29. P2 2:39Shot by Yakupov, saved by Nilsson
  30. P2 6:13Shot by Bourque, saved by Nilsson
  31. P2 6:32Shot by Eriksson, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 6:36Shot by Eriksson, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 10:05Shot by Landeskog, saved by Nilsson
  34. P2 10:06Sedin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Vanek, Edler, Archibald, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  35. P2 10:46Goal by Jost (Barrie, MacKinnon)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Sutter, Archibald, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost

  36. P2 11:48Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Nilsson
  37. P2 12:00Wilson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Del Zotto, Baertschi, Horvat, Boeser, Stecher · COL Wilson, Warsofsky, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Compher

  38. P2 13:01Goal by Goldobin (Pouliot, Baertschi)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Vanek, Baertschi, Pouliot, Horvat, Goldobin · COL Bourque, Nemeth, Compher, Zadorov

  39. P2 13:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Nilsson
  40. P2 13:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Nilsson
  41. P2 13:52Goal by Sutter (Goldobin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Edler, Sutter, Gudbranson, Goldobin · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  42. P2 14:25Shot by Virtanen, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 15:04Shot by Sedin, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 15:42Goal by Horvat (Boeser)+5 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Del Zotto, Baertschi, Horvat, Boeser, Stecher · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, Nieto, Girard

  45. P2 16:28Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 16:33Shot by Sutter, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 17:40Del Zotto: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Del Zotto, Baertschi, Horvat, Boeser, Stecher · COL Wilson, Siemens, Kerfoot, Compher, Girard

  48. P2 17:57Goal by Rantanen (Barrie, MacKinnon)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Sutter, Archibald, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost

  49. P2 18:39Vanek: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Vanek, Biega, Pouliot · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, Nieto, Girard

  50. P2 19:23Goal by Landeskog (MacKinnon, Barrie)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Sutter, Archibald, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:19Zadorov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Edler, Sutter, Archibald, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  54. P3 1:28Shot by Barrie, saved by Nilsson5v4
  55. P3 2:09Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov5v4
  56. P3 4:53Shot by Rantanen, saved by Nilsson
  57. P3 5:31Shot by Boeser, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 6:35Shot by Compher, saved by Nilsson
  59. P3 6:42Shot by Landeskog, saved by Nilsson
  60. P3 8:39Shot by Compher, saved by Nilsson
  61. P3 9:06Shot by Zadorov, saved by Nilsson
  62. P3 9:37Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 10:25Shot by Girard, saved by Nilsson
  64. P3 11:53Shot by Nemeth, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 13:33Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 15:46Virtanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Edler, Biega, Dowd, Virtanen, Goldobin · COL Warsofsky, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov, Jost

  67. P3 16:25Shot by Sutter, saved by Varlamov4v5
  68. P3 16:59Goal by Barrie (Rantanen, Landeskog)4v5+35 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Del Zotto, Dowd, Stecher · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost

  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:49Shot by Eriksson, saved by Varlamov3v3
  72. OT 1:03Shot by Boeser, saved by Varlamov3v3
  73. OT 1:37Shot by Virtanen, saved by Varlamov3v3
  74. OT 1:51Shot by Landeskog, saved by Nilsson3v3
  75. OT 2:54Shot by Sutter, saved by Varlamov3v3
  76. OT 3:03Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Varlamov3v3
  77. OT 3:23Sedin: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: VAN Sedin, Sedin, Del Zotto · COL Nemeth, Kerfoot, Jost

  78. OT 3:36Goal by MacKinnon (Barrie, Rantanen)3v4+57 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Sutter, Gudbranson · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  79. OT 3:36Period end3v4
  80. OT 3:36Final3v4