Sun, Feb 25, 2018·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 3, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 011 | 26 | 327 |
| ARI | 014 | 013 | 115 | 142 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:16VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Derrick Pouliot, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.39 xG1–0
- P3 9:18ARIAlex GoligoskiPPAssists: Derek Stepan, Brendan Perlini · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P3 11:43VANDaniel SedinGWGAssists: Brock Boeser, Troy Stecher · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 14:08VANDarren ArchibaldSHAssists: Brandon Sutter, Troy Stecher · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 0:43ARIBrad Richardson: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P1 3:58VANNic Dowd: Bench2 min
- P1 14:49VANDaniel Sedin: High sticking2 min
- P2 1:34ARIBrad Richardson: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:03VANTroy Stecher: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 12:04VANJake Virtanen: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:24ARIJakob Chychrun: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:02ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:11VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:37VANErik Gudbranson: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Sutter – Archibald6:55
xG 0.46–0.18 (72%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Boeser3:59
xG 0.27–0.14 (65%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Dowd2:02
xG 0.04–0.06 (39%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Horvat – Goldobin – Boeser5:07
xG 0.05–0.25 (17%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Stecher11:42
xG 0.57–0.43 (57%)attempts 15–14goals 1–0
- Edler – Gudbranson12:28
xG 0.48–0.55 (47%)attempts 10–21goals 0–0
- Pouliot – Hutton11:41
xG 0.20–0.57 (26%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDomi – Dvorak – Keller4:31
xG 0.41–0.07 (86%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Rinaldo – Hamilton – Archibald5:58
xG 0.27–0.08 (78%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Richardson – Cousins – Martinook5:46
xG 0.23–0.21 (52%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Stepan – Perlini – Keller4:25
xG 0.06–0.05 (52%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun9:02
xG 0.78–0.19 (80%)attempts 20–7goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson3:18
xG 0.19–0.07 (74%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Demers – Ekman-Larsson14:38
xG 0.64–0.60 (52%)attempts 19–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).