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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 27, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Ottawa Senators 2, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Niskanen, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Orpik, saved by Condon
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 2:03Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 2:06Shot by Pageau, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 2:57Borowiecki: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Wilson, Kempny · OTT Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Paajarvi, Harpur

  8. P1 2:57Wilson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Wilson, Kempny · OTT Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Paajarvi, Harpur

  9. P1 4:44Shot by Carlson, saved by Condon
  10. P1 5:11McCormick: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Beagle, Carlson, Smith-Pelly, Stephenson, Kempny · OTT Pyatt, O'Brien, McCormick, Ceci, Harpur

  11. P1 5:44Shot by Carlson, saved by Condon5v4
  12. P1 7:47Shot by Ceci, saved by Grubauer
  13. P1 9:08Shot by Ryan, saved by Grubauer
  14. P1 9:37Shot by Ryan, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 10:29Shot by Connolly, saved by Condon
  16. P1 10:51Shot by Vrana, saved by Condon
  17. P1 11:28Shot by Orpik, saved by Condon
  18. P1 11:34Shot by Oshie, saved by Condon
  19. P1 12:12Shot by Stone, saved by Grubauer
  20. P1 13:04Niskanen: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Beagle, Orlov, Smith-Pelly, Stephenson · OTT O'Brien, Duchene, Paajarvi, McCormick, Ceci, Chabot

  21. P1 14:15Shot by Duchene, saved by Grubauer4v5
  22. P1 14:16Shot by Duchene, saved by Grubauer4v5
  23. P1 15:16Goal by Kuznetsov (Oshie, Niskanen)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Niskanen, Carlson, Kuznetsov · OTT Gaborik, Ryan, Karlsson, Pageau, Ceci

  24. P1 15:33Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Condon
  25. P1 16:16Shot by Chabot, saved by Grubauer
  26. P1 18:03Shot by Harpur, saved by Grubauer
  27. P1 19:59Shot by McCormick, saved by Grubauer
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:43Goal by Wilson (Backstrom)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Vrana, Kempny · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Claesson, Pageau

  31. P2 4:22Kempny: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Beagle, Carlson, Smith-Pelly, Stephenson, Kempny · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Claesson, Pageau

  32. P2 4:51Orpik: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Niskanen, Eller, Wilson · OTT Smith, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot

  33. P2 5:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer3v5
  34. P2 6:25Goal by Hoffman (Karlsson, Condon)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Niskanen, Backstrom, Carlson, Kempny · OTT Gaborik, Karlsson, Hoffman, Dzingel, Pageau

  35. P2 8:45Shot by O'Brien, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 8:57Shot by O'Brien, saved by Grubauer
  37. P2 9:57Shot by Backstrom, saved by Condon
  38. P2 11:00Shot by Niskanen, saved by Condon
  39. P2 11:44Shot by Gaborik, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 13:31Shot by Chabot, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 15:02Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Condon
  42. P2 15:52Shot by Claesson, saved by Grubauer
  43. P2 15:57Wilson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Jerabek · OTT Smith, Paajarvi, Dzingel, Claesson, Ceci

  44. P2 16:30Shot by Gaborik, saved by Grubauer4v5
  45. P2 17:08Oshie: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Orlov · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel

  46. P2 19:48Goal by Kuznetsov (Niskanen, Vrana)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Niskanen, Kuznetsov, Vrana · OTT Pyatt, Smith, Paajarvi, Ceci, Chabot

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:35Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Condon
  50. P3 0:48Shot by Ceci, saved by Grubauer
  51. P3 1:18Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Condon
  52. P3 1:46Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  53. P3 3:14Goal by Karlsson (Claesson, Stone)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny · OTT Karlsson, Paajarvi, Stone, Claesson, Pageau

  54. P3 3:35Shot by Oshie, saved by Condon
  55. P3 3:48Shot by Vrana, saved by Condon
  56. P3 4:01Shot by Vrana, saved by Condon
  57. P3 4:14Shot by Karlsson, saved by Grubauer
  58. P3 4:20Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Eller, Connolly, Burakovsky, Jerabek · OTT Gaborik, Smith, Karlsson, Dzingel, Harpur

  59. P3 4:53Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Condon5v4
  60. P3 7:32Shot by Hoffman, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 8:11Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 8:39Shot by Backstrom, saved by Condon
  63. P3 8:47Niskanen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Orlov, Wilson · OTT Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Ceci, Chabot

  64. P3 8:46Shot by Hoffman, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 11:03Orpik: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson · OTT Smith, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot

  66. P3 14:19Shot by Ceci, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 14:42Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Grubauer
  68. P3 19:35Shot by Smith, saved by Grubauer5v6
  69. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  70. P3 0:00Final5v6