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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 28, 2018·Pepsi Center, Denver

Calgary Flames 2, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Calgary Flames

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 56% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:42Monahan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan, Bennett

  3. P1 3:02Shot by Barrie, saved by Rittich5v4
  4. P1 4:49Shot by Jost, saved by Rittich
  5. P1 5:54Shot by Zadorov, saved by Rittich
  6. P1 6:08Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 7:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rittich
  8. P1 7:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rittich
  9. P1 7:18Shot by Girard, saved by Rittich
  10. P1 9:09Shot by Hamonic, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 9:09Comeau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Nieto, Siemens · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie, Tkachuk

  12. P1 9:09Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Nieto, Siemens · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie, Tkachuk

  13. P1 9:59Shot by Compher, saved by Rittich4v4
  14. P1 10:11Shot by Frolik, saved by Varlamov4v4
  15. P1 11:20Comeau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Nemeth, MacKinnon, Jost, Girard · CGY Giordano, Hamilton, Jankowski, Bennett, Tkachuk

  16. P1 12:15Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov4v5
  17. P1 12:22Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rittich4v5
  18. P1 14:09Glass: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Siemens, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CGY Stajan, Glass, Giordano, Stewart, Hamilton

  19. P1 14:09Siemens: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Siemens, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CGY Stajan, Glass, Giordano, Stewart, Hamilton

  20. P1 14:09Glass: Charging (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Siemens, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CGY Stajan, Glass, Giordano, Stewart, Hamilton

  21. P1 14:19Goal by Backlund, unassisted5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Backlund, Hamonic

  22. P1 15:11Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rittich5v4
  23. P1 16:34Shot by Kulak, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 16:57Shot by Kulak, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 18:41Stone: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Nieto, Girard · CGY Backlund, Stone, Kulak, Hathaway, Tkachuk

  26. P1 18:52Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rittich5v4
  27. P1 19:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rittich5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:45Shot by Jost, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 0:49Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rittich
  32. P2 2:41Goal by Frolik (Tkachuk, Backlund)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Nieto, Siemens · CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk

  33. P2 4:19Shot by Hamilton, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 4:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rittich
  35. P2 4:35Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rittich
  36. P2 5:11Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rittich
  37. P2 7:17Shot by Frolik, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 7:42Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 7:42Tkachuk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie, Tkachuk

  40. P2 8:24Goal by MacKinnon (Landeskog, Barrie)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost · CGY Giordano, Brouwer, Backlund, Hamonic

  41. P2 8:46Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rittich
  42. P2 8:54Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rittich
  43. P2 9:16Shot by Bennett, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 9:32Goal by Zadorov (Comeau, Soderberg)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Jost · CGY Brouwer, Hamonic, Jankowski, Kulak, Hathaway

  45. P2 9:34Tkachuk: Bench (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Jost · CGY Brouwer, Stone, Jankowski, Kulak, Hathaway

  46. P2 10:23Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rittich5v4
  47. P2 11:23Shot by Brodie, saved by Varlamov5v4
  48. P2 11:45Zadorov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Nemeth, Nieto, Toninato, Zadorov · CGY Giordano, Hamilton, Jankowski, Hathaway, Tkachuk

  49. P2 11:44Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 12:01Hamilton: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, Siemens, Compher · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan, Tkachuk

  51. P2 12:41Goal by Barrie (Rantanen, MacKinnon)4v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Nemeth, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CGY Giordano, Hamonic, Gaudreau, Monahan

  52. P2 12:47Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rittich4v4
  53. P2 13:04Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov4v4
  54. P2 13:30Shot by Stone, saved by Varlamov4v4
  55. P2 13:35Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov4v4
  56. P2 14:23Shot by Bennett, saved by Varlamov
  57. P2 14:27Shot by Stajan, saved by Varlamov
  58. P2 14:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rittich
  59. P2 15:44Shot by Compher, saved by Rittich
  60. P2 17:05Shot by Hamilton, saved by Varlamov
  61. P2 17:20Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rittich
  62. P2 17:30Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rittich
  63. P2 18:42Goal by Nieto (Soderberg, Comeau)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Barrie, Nieto, Zadorov · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie, Tkachuk

  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:16Shot by Frolik, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 0:19Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 0:22Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 0:36Tkachuk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, Nieto, Girard · CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk

  70. P3 1:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rittich5v4
  71. P3 2:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 4:10Shot by Stone, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 4:40Siemens: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Bourque, Siemens, Compher, Jost · CGY Stajan, Brouwer, Stewart, Stone, Kulak

  74. P3 5:15Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov4v5
  75. P3 5:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov4v5
  76. P3 5:51Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov4v5
  77. P3 6:47Shot by Frolik, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 6:49Wilson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, Siemens · CGY Brouwer, Frolik, Backlund, Hamonic, Brodie

  79. P3 7:40Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov4v5
  80. P3 8:01Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rittich4v5
  81. P3 8:05Comeau: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Zadorov · CGY Brouwer, Backlund, Brodie, Gaudreau, Bennett

  82. P3 8:05Gaudreau: Misconduct (10 min)3v5

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Zadorov · CGY Brouwer, Backlund, Brodie, Gaudreau, Bennett

  83. P3 8:05Gaudreau: Embellishment (2 min)3v4

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Zadorov · CGY Brouwer, Backlund, Brodie, Gaudreau, Bennett

  84. P3 9:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rittich
  85. P3 10:06Shot by Jost, saved by Rittich
  86. P3 13:01Shot by Kulak, saved by Varlamov
  87. P3 17:03Nemeth: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, Siemens, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CGY Giordano, Backlund, Hamilton, Monahan, Bennett, Tkachuk

  88. P3 17:26Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov4v5
  89. P3 19:08Shot by Monahan, saved by Varlamov5v6
  90. P3 19:43Goal by Siemens, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, Siemens, MacKinnon, Rantanen · CGY Stajan, Brouwer, Stewart, Frolik, Stone, Brodie

  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final