Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 2, 2018·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 1, Colorado Avalanche 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 53% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Coyle, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:55Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:08Shot by Compher, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 3:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 4:04Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 6:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 6:59Shot by Comeau, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 7:03Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 8:02Shot by Siemens, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 8:14Shot by Foligno, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 8:49Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 9:15Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 9:42Goal by Landeskog (Rantanen, Girard)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Niederreiter, Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  15. P1 10:56Staal: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  16. P1 12:08Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen, Barrie)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle

  17. P1 14:02Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 16:09Bourque: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Bourque, Siemens, Toninato, Compher, Lindholm · MIN Cullen, Winnik, Foligno, Seeler, Dumba

  19. P1 16:20Suter: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, Siemens · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  20. P1 16:45Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov4v4
  21. P1 17:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  22. P1 17:41Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Varlamov4v4
  23. P1 18:03Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v4
  24. P1 18:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 3:18Toninato: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Siemens, Toninato, Compher, Jost · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Foligno, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  28. P2 4:21Shot by Coyle, saved by Varlamov4v5
  29. P2 4:26Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov4v5
  30. P2 5:54Goal by Barrie (Rantanen, MacKinnon)+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Foligno, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  31. P2 6:36Shot by Cullen, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 7:18Shot by Nemeth, saved by Dubnyk
  33. P2 8:08Goal by MacKinnon (Girard, Nemeth)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Staal, Zucker, Granlund, Seeler, Dumba

  34. P2 8:08Niederreiter: Delaying game bench (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Staal, Zucker, Granlund, Seeler, Dumba

  35. P2 9:05Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  36. P2 9:32Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  37. P2 10:39Goal by Soderberg (Bourque)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Bourque, Nemeth, Nieto, Zadorov · MIN Staal, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin, Olofsson

  38. P2 11:15Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 11:18Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 11:33Shot by Barrie, saved by Stalock
  41. P2 11:54Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 12:40Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Nemeth)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Cullen, Suter, Winnik, Spurgeon, Coyle

  43. P2 13:45Shot by Seeler, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 14:10Shot by Nieto, saved by Stalock
  45. P2 14:43Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 15:00Shot by Foligno, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 16:17Shot by Brodin, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 16:54Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov5v6
  49. P2 17:07Goal by Koivu (Parise, Granlund)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, Toninato, Compher, Girard · MIN Koivu, Parise, Granlund, Niederreiter, Brodin, Dumba

  50. P2 17:42Shot by Jost, saved by Stalock
  51. P2 18:48Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Varlamov
  52. P2 19:30Shot by Coyle, saved by Varlamov
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 2:58Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 3:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 5:07Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 5:44Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 7:18Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 7:46Goal by Nieto (Comeau, MacKinnon)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Nemeth, Nieto, MacKinnon, Girard · MIN Staal, Winnik, Coyle, Brodin, Olofsson

  61. P3 7:58Shot by Compher, saved by Stalock
  62. P3 9:09Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 13:00Shot by Girard, saved by Stalock
  64. P3 14:14Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 14:26Shot by Cullen, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 15:53Comeau: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Comeau, Nemeth, Nieto, Kerfoot, Girard · MIN Staal, Parise, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin, Olofsson

  67. P3 17:59Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 18:48Shot by Siemens, saved by Stalock
  69. P3 19:41Shot by Comeau, saved by Stalock
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final