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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 4, 2018·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 4, Colorado Avalanche 3 (OT)

Away

Nashville Predators

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 52% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:36Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 3:09Goal by Watson (Sissons, Ekholm)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Siemens, Toninato, Compher, Lindholm · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Forsberg, Sissons

  4. P1 6:30Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 6:34Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 6:29Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 6:44Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 7:00Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 8:03Shot by Jost, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 8:07Shot by Siemens, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 8:14Shot by Yakupov, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 8:25Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 10:49Zadorov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Turris, Ellis, Ekholm, Hartman, Fiala

  14. P1 12:41Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov4v5
  15. P1 12:57Goal by Zadorov (Soderberg, Lindholm)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Nemeth, Landeskog, Zadorov, Lindholm · NSH Turris, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Fiala

  16. P1 13:14Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 14:14Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 15:42Shot by Hartnell, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 16:25Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 17:51Ekholm: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  21. P1 19:52Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 19:56Shot by Yakupov, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:12Hartman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Yakupov, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Jost · NSH Turris, Weber, Irwin, Hartman, Fiala

  26. P2 3:34Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  27. P2 3:46Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne5v4
  28. P2 7:13Shot by Sissons, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 7:35Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 7:36Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 7:37Landeskog: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  32. P2 8:08Goal by Turris (Ellis, Fiala)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, Siemens · NSH Turris, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Fiala

  33. P2 9:27Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne6v5
  34. P2 9:27Arvidsson: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, Yakupov, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  35. P2 9:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  36. P2 11:07Shot by Rinne, saved by Varlamov5v4
  37. P2 12:03Shot by Toninato, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 12:12Shot by Hartnell, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 13:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 15:04Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 15:40Landeskog: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  42. P2 15:40Arvidsson: Embellishment (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  43. P2 17:06Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rinne4v4
  44. P2 19:37Zadorov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Barrie, Nieto, Zadorov · NSH Turris, Weber, Irwin, Hartman, Fiala

  45. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:26Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov4v5
  48. P3 1:34Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov4v5
  49. P3 3:54Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 4:05Shot by Emelin, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 4:28Shot by Hartman, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 4:38Goal by Nieto, unassisted+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Nieto, Zadorov, Girard · NSH Emelin, Subban, Turris, Hartman, Fiala

  53. P3 5:43Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 6:49Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 9:32Shot by Bonino, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 10:23Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 11:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 12:06Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 13:43Watson: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Barrie, Nieto, MacKinnon, Zadorov · NSH Emelin, Subban, Watson, Salomaki, Sissons

  60. P3 14:22Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Barrie)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok

  61. P3 16:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 16:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 18:17Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov5v6
  64. P3 18:33Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov5v6
  65. P3 18:54Goal by Ellis (Subban, Johansen)5v6+40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Bourque, Nemeth, Landeskog, Siemens, MacKinnon · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  66. P3 19:11Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 19:21Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 19:25Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:22Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov3v3
  72. OT 0:42Shot by Zadorov, saved by Rinne3v3
  73. OT 1:07Goal by Forsberg (Ellis, Arvidsson)3v3+57 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Forsberg

  74. OT 1:07Period end3v3
  75. OT 1:07Final3v3