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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 5, 2018·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Ottawa Senators 3, Dallas Stars 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.

DAL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:14Burrows: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Methot, Klingberg, Smith, Dickinson, Elie · OTT Burrows, O'Brien, Borowiecki, McCormick, Harpur

  3. P1 3:21Shot by Radulov, saved by Anderson5v4
  4. P1 3:52Shot by Ritchie, saved by Anderson5v4
  5. P1 4:36Goal by Seguin (Radulov, Klingberg)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · OTT Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, Harpur

  6. P1 6:14Shot by Pageau, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 6:59Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 8:27Shot by McCormick, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 8:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 9:26Shot by Ritchie, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 9:25Shot by Ritchie, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 10:34Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 12:58Shot by Ceci, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 13:02Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 13:07Shot by Chabot, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 14:05Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 14:42Shot by Stone, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 15:01Shot by Dickinson, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 15:20Shot by Duchene, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 16:21Shot by Ceci, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 18:21Shot by Dzingel, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 19:40Shot by Pitlick, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:16Shot by Roussel, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 2:57Shot by McCormick, saved by Lehtonen
  27. P2 4:04Shot by Pateryn, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 4:23Shot by Pitlick, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 4:31Shot by Johns, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 8:10Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lehtonen
  31. P2 10:14Karlsson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Radulov, Pateryn, Smith, Janmark · OTT Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Ceci, Chabot

  32. P2 10:32Shot by Radulov, saved by Anderson5v4
  33. P2 11:22Shot by Radulov, saved by Anderson5v4
  34. P2 11:58Shot by Klingberg, saved by Anderson5v4
  35. P2 12:02Shot by Janmark, saved by Anderson5v4
  36. P2 12:25Shot by Stone, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 13:53Shot by Ritchie, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 14:28Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 15:03Shot by Shore, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 15:22Pateryn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Radulov, Pateryn, Shore, Janmark · OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Stone, Pageau, Ceci

  41. P2 15:54Hoffman: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Methot, Johns, Pitlick, Seguin · OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone, Pageau

  42. P2 16:18Shot by Radulov, saved by Anderson4v4
  43. P2 16:39Shot by Janmark, saved by Anderson4v4
  44. P2 16:58Shot by Seguin, saved by Anderson4v4
  45. P2 18:19Shot by Roussel, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 18:24Shot by Pitlick, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 18:35Shore: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Methot, Roussel, Pitlick, Klingberg, Shore · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Stone, Pageau, Chabot

  48. P2 18:47Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  49. P2 19:21Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  50. P2 19:30Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  51. P2 19:58Goal by Hoffman (Stone, Duchene)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Roussel, Pitlick · OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Stone, Pageau

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:41Shot by Benn, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 0:51Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehtonen
  56. P3 3:35Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehtonen
  57. P3 6:36Goal by Duchene (Karlsson, Borowiecki)+32 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Benn, Pateryn, Seguin, Ritchie · OTT Karlsson, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel

  58. P3 7:30Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 7:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 8:03Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehtonen
  61. P3 9:10Hoffman: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Roussel, Pitlick, Seguin · OTT Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Dzingel, Claesson

  62. P3 9:47Shot by Klingberg, saved by Anderson5v4
  63. P3 10:56Shot by Seguin, saved by Anderson5v4
  64. P3 12:09Shot by Seguin, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 14:03Shot by Spezza, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 14:30Shot by Pateryn, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 15:53Shot by Stone, saved by Lehtonen
  68. P3 16:01Shot by Stone, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 17:10Shot by Klingberg, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 18:30Shot by Janmark, saved by Anderson6v5
  71. P3 18:38Shot by Seguin, saved by Anderson6v5
  72. P3 18:52Goal by Seguin (Janmark, Hamhuis)6v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Janmark · OTT Borowiecki, Duchene, Stone, Pageau, Ceci

  73. P3 19:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehtonen
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 2:41Goal by Karlsson (Ryan)3v3+57 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pitlick, Klingberg, Shore · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Dzingel

  77. OT 2:41Period end3v3
  78. OT 2:41Final3v3