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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 5, 2018·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Ottawa Senators 3, Dallas Stars 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.

DAL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryan–Stone–PageauHoffman–Duchene–DzingelGaborik–Smith–PaajarviBurrows–O'Brien–McCormickGaborik–Smith–DzingelKarlsson–ClaessonBorowiecki–CeciKarlsson–ChabotCeci–ChabotCeci–HarpurKarlsson–HarpurBorowiecki–HarpurKarlsson–Borowiecki
Benn–Seguin–Ritchie2:130.55–0.054:560.12–0.111:440.06–0.002:080.08–0.002:530.04–0.062:020.55–0.030:410.00–0.010:410.06–0.000:510.00–0.00
Radulov–Shore–Janmark2:590.16–0.002:320.05–0.241:450.00–0.200:350.00–0.002:030.02–0.150:370.00–0.011:060.10–0.001:470.00–0.183:150.08–0.17
Spezza–Roussel–Pitlick2:340.15–0.260:340.00–0.161:550.13–0.070:450.00–0.001:360.02–0.061:120.12–0.011:480.02–0.090:440.13–0.10
Smith–Dickinson–Elie0:540.00–0.010:410.06–0.003:500.00–0.001:490.00–0.001:260.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:550.06–0.00
Radulov–Benn–Seguin1:280.09–0.001:090.00–0.180:370.05–0.002:260.09–0.00
Roussel–Pitlick–Shore0:480.02–0.010:480.08–0.000:470.08–0.000:350.00–0.01
Spezza–Ritchie–Janmark0:590.09–0.000:310.00–0.001:470.09–0.00
Radulov–Smith–Dickinson0:410.00–0.00
Methot–Klingberg7:320.76–0.212:120.08–0.012:220.06–0.271:020.08–0.003:350.08–0.062:110.00–0.082:250.57–0.041:460.08–0.172:510.12–0.120:380.13–0.10
Hamhuis–Pateryn1:570.12–0.085:240.15–0.311:560.09–0.000:300.00–0.002:080.02–0.152:480.05–0.062:440.12–0.081:350.08–0.001:420.08–0.051:310.09–0.00
Johns–Honka2:150.00–0.080:500.02–0.022:220.13–0.033:320.00–0.000:390.00–0.003:410.02–0.002:190.12–0.011:090.02–0.001:200.00–0.091:100.00–0.030:300.00–0.00
Johns–Klingberg1:190.09–0.230:400.00–0.001:040.09–0.230:480.00–0.00
Pateryn–Klingberg0:310.00–0.000:420.00–0.060:430.00–0.060:380.00–0.18
Hamhuis–Johns0:410.00–0.00
Methot–Pateryn0:510.00–0.010:470.00–0.01
Methot–Johns1:000.00–0.160:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndJanmark FShore FRadulov FSeguin FBenn FRitchie FPitlick FSpezza FRoussel FDickinson FElie FSmith FKlingberg DMethot DHamhuis DPateryn DHonka DJohns DBishop GLehtonen GRyan FPageau FStone FPaajarvi FHoffman FDuchene FGaborik FSmith FDzingel FBurrows FO'Brien FMcCormick FCeci DHarpur DClaesson DKarlsson DBorowiecki DChabot DAnderson G
DALOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3930:510:472:1176
John KlingbergDAL3130:140:592:1481
Cody CeciOTT3526:320:451:2228
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2724:550:551:3857
Alexander RadulovDAL2324:321:042:5851
Tyler SeguinDAL2923:050:482:2965
Mark StoneOTT2622:530:531:3857
Jamie BennDAL2722:310:503:0664
Stephen JohnsDAL2620:110:471:2044
Mattias JanmarkDAL2219:380:541:2762
Dan HamhuisDAL2719:270:431:5023
Marc MethotDAL2818:160:391:1553
Greg PaterynDAL2918:100:381:2313
Bobby RyanOTT2217:470:491:1743
Mike HoffmanOTT2417:310:441:4233
Ryan DzingelOTT2217:180:471:4213
Mark BorowieckiOTT2816:480:361:0826
Matt DucheneOTT2416:060:401:2333
Thomas ChabotOTT2115:500:451:3724
Devin ShoreDAL2315:470:411:0731
Fredrik ClaessonOTT2315:380:412:1122
Ben HarpurOTT2115:170:441:5215
Brett RitchieDAL2215:120:411:2064
Zack SmithOTT1914:230:451:5023
Tyler PitlickDAL2214:050:381:3333
Magnus PaajarviOTT1913:460:431:5022
Jason SpezzaDAL1912:570:411:2733
Julius HonkaDAL2012:460:381:1132
Antoine RousselDAL2012:380:381:1632
Gemel SmithDAL1410:500:461:1721
Marian GaborikOTT1310:110:471:5020
Alexandre BurrowsOTT159:100:371:0022
Jim O'BrienOTT148:490:381:0022
Jason DickinsonDAL128:240:421:0011
Remi ElieDAL107:210:441:1711
Max McCormickOTT126:560:351:0010