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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 6, 2018·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 0, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 83% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:40Fisher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Hartnell, Emelin, Weber, Smith · DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Smith, Dickinson, Elie

  3. P1 2:06Shot by Klingberg, saved by Rinne4v5
  4. P1 3:31Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne4v5
  5. P1 3:49Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 5:25Shot by Fiala, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 6:50Janmark: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Emelin, Bonino, Subban, Jarnkrok · DAL Radulov, Johns, Shore, Janmark, Honka

  8. P1 8:18Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  9. P1 7:38Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  10. P1 8:42Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  11. P1 8:47Shot by Sissons, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  12. P1 10:25Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 10:47Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 12:19Shot by Hartnell, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 13:28Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 15:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 15:34Shot by Fiala, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 17:09Watson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Subban, Watson, Sissons, Hartman · DAL Roussel, Johns, Ritchie, Dickinson, Honka

  19. P1 18:00Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne4v5
  20. P1 18:56Shot by Spezza, saved by Rinne4v5
  21. P1 19:20Shot by Spezza, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 19:52Shot by Roussel, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:19Shot by Methot, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 0:44Seguin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DAL Methot, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Ritchie

  27. P2 1:19Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  28. P2 1:29Shot by Johns, saved by Rinne5v4
  29. P2 2:02Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  30. P2 2:08Shot by Sissons, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  31. P2 2:46Shot by Bonino, saved by Lehtonen
  32. P2 2:51Hartnell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Hartman · DAL Hamhuis, Pateryn, Roussel, Seguin, Elie

  33. P2 3:29Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne4v5
  34. P2 5:38Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 6:16Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 7:57Pateryn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Subban, Watson, Sissons, Hartman · DAL Hamhuis, Radulov, Pateryn, Janmark, Dickinson

  37. P2 8:11Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  38. P2 8:12Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  39. P2 8:43Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  40. P2 10:04Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 10:52Hartman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Hartnell, Emelin, Bonino, Subban, Hartman · DAL Spezza, Methot, Radulov, Klingberg, Janmark

  42. P2 13:00Honka: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Hartman · DAL Spezza, Johns, Shore, Janmark, Honka

  43. P2 13:42Shot by Subban, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  44. P2 14:34Shot by Shore, saved by Rinne5v4
  45. P2 15:04Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 15:33Shot by Pateryn, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 15:33Roussel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Bonino, Subban, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DAL Spezza, Pateryn, Roussel, Johns, Pitlick

  48. P2 15:33Bonino: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Bonino, Subban, Forsberg, Arvidsson · DAL Spezza, Pateryn, Roussel, Johns, Pitlick

  49. P2 16:13Shot by Radulov, saved by Rinne4v4
  50. P2 17:34Shot by Pitlick, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 18:29Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehtonen
  52. P2 18:38Shot by Sissons, saved by Lehtonen
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:16Shot by Radulov, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 2:42Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen
  57. P3 2:49Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 3:06Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 4:47Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P3 4:59Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehtonen
  61. P3 5:33Goal by Hartman (Watson, Sissons)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons, Hartman · DAL Benn, Johns, Seguin, Ritchie, Honka

  62. P3 6:00Hamhuis: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Smith, Irwin, Fiala · DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Pateryn, Smith, Elie

  63. P3 7:01Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  64. P3 9:07Shot by Elie, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 14:44Shot by Subban, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 15:10Shot by Ritchie, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 15:28Shot by Shore, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 15:41Shot by Spezza, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 16:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 16:29Shot by Klingberg, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 16:41Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 18:05Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen
  73. P3 18:14Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen
  74. P3 18:24Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 18:41Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne5v6
  76. P3 19:46Goal by Bonino, unassisted5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Sissons · DAL Spezza, Radulov, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Janmark

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final