Mon, Mar 12, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 0, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 05 | 013 | 017 | 035 |
| LAK | 08 | 210 | 115 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:57LAKTyler ToffoliGWGAssists: Jake Muzzin, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 14:54LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Derek Forbort, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–2
- P3 10:53LAKTanner PearsonAssists: Adrian Kempe, Tyler Toffoli · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:37LAKDerek Forbort: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:23LAKJake Muzzin: Interference2 min
- P1 9:14VANSam Gagner: Holding2 min
- P1 14:07VANBen Hutton: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:40LAKAlex Iafallo: Interference2 min
- P3 15:32LAKDion Phaneuf: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:32VANNic Dowd: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:19VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sutter won the faceoff against Carter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLeipsic – Horvat – Virtanen3:13
xG 0.24–0.09 (73%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Dowd – Boucher – Motte3:03
xG 0.26–0.15 (63%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Leipsic – Motte – Horvat5:39
xG 0.26–0.16 (62%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Virtanen5:18
xG 0.23–0.17 (57%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Edler – Gudbranson14:42
xG 0.63–0.65 (49%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Pouliot – Hutton15:00
xG 0.68–0.75 (48%)attempts 16–17goals 0–2
- Del Zotto – Stecher15:35
xG 0.28–0.72 (28%)attempts 9–18goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Lewis – Rieder10:33
xG 0.85–0.36 (70%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Pearson – Kempe8:25
xG 0.72–0.48 (60%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo8:58
xG 0.36–0.19 (66%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Thompson – Mitchell – Clifford9:08
xG 0.24–0.10 (70%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Folin12:26
xG 0.91–0.22 (80%)attempts 20–10goals 1–0
- Phaneuf – Martinez12:15
xG 0.63–0.59 (52%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty2:49
xG 0.13–0.09 (59%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).