Tue, Mar 13, 2018·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 3, Arizona Coyotes 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 17 | 213 | 08 | 1 | 337 |
| ARI | 29 | 112 | 05 | 03 | 2 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:08ARIClayton KellerAssists: Derek Stepan · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 15:43ARINick CousinsAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 10:13ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Max Domi, Nick Cousins · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–3
- P2 10:40LAKTanner PearsonAssists: Adrian Kempe, Tyler Toffoli · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–3
- P3 12:03LAKJeff CarterPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Jake Muzzin · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 17:42LAKJeff CarterAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.05 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ARI Nick Cousins stopped
- 2. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 3. ARI Clayton Keller scored
- 4. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 5. ARI Richard Panik stopped
- 6. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 7. ARI Christian Dvorak stopped
- 8. LAK Trevor Lewis stopped
- 9. ARI Alex Goligoski scored
- 10. LAK Tyler Toffoli stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 18:47ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P3 5:57ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 9:25LAKNate Thompson: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:25ARIBrendan Perlini: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- OT 0:23ARIRichard Panik: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carter won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo6:43
xG 0.29–0.06 (84%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Rieder2:05
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Carter – Brown – Kopitar2:32
xG 0.07–0.05 (59%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Thompson – Mitchell – Clifford8:07
xG 0.08–0.27 (22%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty6:30
xG 0.23–0.07 (77%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Doughty – Forbort14:07
xG 0.25–0.19 (58%)attempts 13–10goals 1–1
- Phaneuf – Martinez16:52
xG 0.37–0.43 (46%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Panik – Keller12:50
xG 1.02–0.11 (90%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Hamilton – Archibald – Fischer9:28
xG 0.25–0.23 (52%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Domi – Perlini – Dvorak11:42
xG 0.08–0.22 (26%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Richardson – Cousins – Martinook12:17
xG 0.08–0.36 (18%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson15:53
xG 0.96–0.34 (74%)attempts 23–12goals 1–0
- Hjalmarsson – Connauton11:51
xG 0.27–0.20 (57%)attempts 7–15goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson3:13
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).