Thu, Mar 15, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Detroit Red Wings 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 07 | 06 | 18 | 121 |
| LAK | 16 | 05 | 311 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:55LAKPaul LaDueAssists: Alex Iafallo, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P3 0:45DETGustav NyquistPPAssists: Niklas Kronwall, Frans Nielsen · Wrist, 0.37 xG1–1
- P3 8:22LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Dustin Brown · Deflected, 0.01 xG1–2
- P3 18:30LAKTyler ToffoliAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 18:48LAKDustin BrownENAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.67 xG1–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 14:21LAKKyle Clifford: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:32DETTrevor Daley: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:21DETTyler Bertuzzi: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:21LAKDion Phaneuf: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:46DETDanny DeKeyser: Cross checking2 min
- P2 0:00LAKPaul LaDue: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:22DETFrans Nielsen: Interference2 min
- P3 18:30DETMartin Frk: Delaying game bench2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Zetterberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestZetterberg – Nyquist – Bertuzzi13:32
xG 0.42–0.19 (69%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Helm – Mantha – Larkin9:53
xG 0.67–0.47 (59%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Glendening – Frk – Svechnikov4:18
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Nielsen – Abdelkader – Athanasiou9:14
xG 0.09–0.20 (31%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDaley – Ericsson15:04
xG 0.25–0.03 (90%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Kronwall – Jensen8:06
xG 0.19–0.01 (96%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Jensen – DeKeyser3:57
xG 0.25–0.10 (70%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Pearson – Kempe12:09
xG 0.32–0.07 (81%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Carter – Lewis – Rieder9:46
xG 0.19–0.09 (68%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo10:19
xG 0.23–0.22 (51%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Thompson – Clifford – Amadio6:46
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty4:39
xG 0.12–0.04 (77%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Phaneuf – Martinez16:24
xG 0.32–0.27 (54%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Muzzin – LaDue7:54
xG 0.27–0.23 (54%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).