Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 16, 2018·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 4, Colorado Avalanche 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Barrie, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:43Shot by Nieto, saved by Saros
  4. P1 0:58Sissons: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Nemeth, Nieto, Girard · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Sissons, Hartman

  5. P1 2:54Shot by Soderberg, saved by Saros5v4
  6. P1 3:02Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Saros
  7. P1 3:03Shot by Compher, saved by Saros
  8. P1 4:40Shot by Bonino, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 5:25Shot by Compher, saved by Saros
  10. P1 6:04Shot by Nieto, saved by Saros
  11. P1 7:06Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 7:44Landeskog: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  13. P1 8:38Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov4v5
  14. P1 9:32Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov4v5
  15. P1 10:07Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  16. P1 11:58Shot by Barrie, saved by Saros
  17. P1 13:06Barrie: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Andrighetto, Compher, Zadorov, Jost · NSH Bonino, Weber, Irwin, Sissons, Hartman

  18. P1 13:50Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov4v5
  19. P1 13:56Shot by Turris, saved by Varlamov4v5
  20. P1 16:39Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Saros
  21. P1 17:13Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 17:26Goal by Sissons (Subban, Smith)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Warsofsky, Siemens, Andrighetto, Compher, Jost · NSH Subban, Turris, Josi, Smith, Sissons

  23. P1 18:08Shot by Barrie, saved by Saros
  24. P1 18:25Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 18:28Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 19:01Goal by MacKinnon (Barrie, Rantanen)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:53Shot by Soderberg, saved by Saros
  30. P2 2:25Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 3:28Goal by Landeskog (Bourque, Warsofsky)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Warsofsky, Bourque, Landeskog, Toninato, Zadorov · NSH Fisher, Weber, Irwin, Watson, Salomaki

  32. P2 3:26Shot by Bourque, saved by Saros
  33. P2 4:04Shot by Landeskog, saved by Saros
  34. P2 4:53Shot by Hartman, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 5:11Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Saros
  36. P2 6:12Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 6:12Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 6:26Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 6:28Goal by Forsberg (Smith, Josi)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Bourque, Compher, MacKinnon, Zadorov · NSH Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg

  40. P2 7:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  41. P2 7:21Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 8:44Shot by Zadorov, saved by Saros
  43. P2 9:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  44. P2 12:10Shot by Soderberg, saved by Saros
  45. P2 12:35Shot by Landeskog, saved by Saros
  46. P2 13:39Goal by Sissons (Hartman, Bonino)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Jost, Girard · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Irwin, Sissons, Hartman

  47. P2 13:54Weber: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Zadorov, Jost · NSH Fisher, Weber, Irwin, Watson, Salomaki

  48. P2 14:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Saros5v4
  49. P2 15:13Shot by Barrie, saved by Saros5v4
  50. P2 16:03Shot by Comeau, saved by Saros
  51. P2 16:39Shot by Nemeth, saved by Saros
  52. P2 16:52Shot by Comeau, saved by Saros
  53. P2 17:49MacKinnon: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Warsofsky, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · NSH Weber, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  54. P2 18:17Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov4v5
  55. P2 18:19Shot by Sissons, saved by Varlamov4v5
  56. P2 18:58Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov4v5
  57. P2 19:05Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:46Shot by Zadorov, saved by Saros
  61. P3 1:18Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 4:30Shot by Barrie, saved by Saros
  63. P3 5:05Shot by Sissons, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 5:27Shot by Jost, saved by Saros
  65. P3 5:43Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 6:29Shot by Landeskog, saved by Saros
  67. P3 6:42Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 7:24Shot by Nieto, saved by Saros
  69. P3 10:07Subban: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, Toninato, Compher · NSH Fisher, Subban, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  70. P3 11:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros5v4
  71. P3 11:33Shot by Jost, saved by Saros5v4
  72. P3 15:42Subban: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Warsofsky, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  73. P3 16:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros5v4
  74. P3 18:51Goal by Forsberg (Arvidsson)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  75. P3 19:17MacKinnon: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jost · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Sissons, Hartman

  76. P3 19:40Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov4v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  78. P3 0:00Final4v5