Thu, Mar 22, 2018·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Arizona Coyotes 5, Carolina Hurricanes 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 210 | 313 | 010 | 533 |
| CAR | 28 | 212 | 210 | 630 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:48CARJeff SkinnerAssists: Elias Lindholm, Phillip Di Giuseppe · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 4:55CARValentin ZykovAssists: Sebastian Aho, Jaccob Slavin · Snap, 0.09 xG0–2
- P1 8:27ARIAlex GoligoskiAssists: Brad Richardson · Deflected, 0.00 xG1–2
- P1 19:38ARIClayton KellerAssists: Derek Stepan, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 1:40CARPhillip Di GiuseppeAssists: Elias Lindholm, Jeff Skinner · Snap, 0.18 xG2–3
- P2 4:27ARIJosh ArchibaldAssists: Max Domi · Snap, 0.03 xG3–3
- P2 5:45ARINick CousinsAssists: Christian Fischer, Dylan Strome · Deflected, 0.08 xG4–3
- P2 14:56CARTeuvo TeravainenAssists: Sebastian Aho, Trevor van Riemsdyk · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–4
- P2 19:49ARIAlex GoligoskiPPAssists: Clayton Keller, Derek Stepan · Backhand, 0.14 xG5–4
- P3 9:46CARValentin ZykovAssists: Jaccob Slavin, Teuvo Teravainen · Wrist, 0.30 xG5–5
- P3 18:02CARJeff SkinnerGWGAssists: Phillip Di Giuseppe, Jaccob Slavin · Backhand, 0.08 xG5–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 14:55CARKlas Dahlbeck: Interference2 min
- P2 7:03CARJustin Faulk: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:03ARIChristian Dvorak: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:03ARIChristian Dvorak: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:32CARElias Lindholm: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:00CARSebastian Aho: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Staal won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCousins – Fischer – Strome10:30
xG 0.38–0.22 (64%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Archibald – Domi – Dvorak11:35
xG 0.36–0.21 (63%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
- Richardson – Rinaldo – Martinook8:09
xG 0.07–0.32 (19%)attempts 5–11goals 1–2
- Stepan – Panik – Keller13:29
xG 0.45–1.15 (28%)attempts 10–19goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestConnauton – Chychrun4:45
xG 1.07–0.78 (58%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Schenn – Chychrun2:28
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Chychrun9:10
xG 0.36–0.38 (49%)attempts 9–13goals 2–1
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Zykov – Aho10:58
xG 0.94–0.15 (86%)attempts 18–8goals 3–0
- Skinner – Di Giuseppe – Lindholm11:56
xG 1.13–0.36 (76%)attempts 15–9goals 3–1
- Williams – Staal – McGinn14:03
xG 0.52–0.14 (79%)attempts 17–5goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Nordstrom – Ryan5:55
xG 0.16–0.29 (36%)attempts 9–9goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Slavin15:07
xG 1.18–0.29 (80%)attempts 21–6goals 2–0
- van Riemsdyk – Fleury14:07
xG 0.96–0.34 (74%)attempts 22–16goals 3–3
- Slavin – van Riemsdyk3:01
xG 0.26–0.01 (95%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).