Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 22, 2018·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 70% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Shot by Kapanen, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 2:05Fisher: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Hartnell, Emelin, Irwin, Watson · TOR Plekanec, Polak, Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott

  4. P1 2:12Shot by Marner, saved by Rinne4v5
  5. P1 2:25Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Rinne4v5
  6. P1 2:27Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Rinne4v5
  7. P1 4:03Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner, Rielly)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Forsberg · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  8. P1 5:11Shot by Nylander, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 6:23Bozak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Emelin, Bonino, Irwin, Sissons, Hartman · TOR Marleau, Polak, Bozak, Brown, Dermott

  10. P1 7:25Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen5v4
  11. P1 7:32Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  12. P1 8:22Shot by Sissons, saved by Andersen5v4
  13. P1 8:30Shot by Sissons, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 9:03Shot by Bozak, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 10:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 11:15Shot by Brown, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 13:12Shot by Hyman, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 15:35Nylander: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Hartman · TOR Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  19. P1 19:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 19:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 19:18Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:02Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 1:34Shot by Josi, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 2:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Rinne
  27. P2 2:38Shot by Plekanec, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 3:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 3:27Shot by Marner, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 3:43Shot by Gardiner, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 4:15Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 4:43Matthews: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Hartman · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  33. P2 5:42Goal by Arvidsson (Subban)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TOR Hainsey, Polak, Brown, Kapanen

  34. P2 7:03Shot by Forsberg, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 7:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 8:36Shot by Polak, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 9:48Shot by Fiala, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 9:50Shot by Fiala, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 12:39van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ellis, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  40. P2 14:18Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen5v4
  41. P2 15:06Goal by Matthews (Rielly, van Riemsdyk)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Hartman · TOR van Riemsdyk, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  42. P2 15:22Shot by Gardiner, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 16:44Goal by Nylander (Hyman, Dermott)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Hartnell, Emelin, Subban, Watson · TOR Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews

  44. P2 18:00Plekanec: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TOR Plekanec, Polak, Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott

  45. P2 19:03Fiala: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Sissons, Fiala · TOR Hainsey, Polak, Hyman, Kapanen

  46. P2 19:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Rinne4v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:09Goal by Marner (Rielly, Bozak)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Sissons · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  50. P3 0:34Shot by Ekholm, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 1:29Shot by Hartman, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 1:32Shot by Josi, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 1:53Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 2:16Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 3:16Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 3:39Goal by Gardiner (Brown, Bozak)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Hartnell, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, Zaitsev

  57. P3 4:26Shot by Fiala, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 4:50Shot by Nylander, saved by Rinne
  59. P3 4:55Hyman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Bonino, Subban, Josi, Sissons, Hartman · TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews

  60. P3 5:52Forsberg: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TOR Hainsey, Plekanec, Polak, Kapanen

  61. P3 6:54Shot by Johansen, saved by Andersen4v4
  62. P3 7:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Rinne4v5
  63. P3 8:08Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 8:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 15:37Goal by Hartnell (Fisher, Watson)0 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Hartnell, Josi, Irwin, Watson · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  66. P3 16:54Shot by Turris, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 19:54Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final