Fri, Mar 23, 2018·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Vancouver Canucks 1, St. Louis Blues 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 012 | 15 | 03 | 120 |
| STL | 14 | 111 | 210 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:40STLPatrik BerglundAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Alexander Steen · Backhand, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 4:44STLPatrik BerglundSHGWGAssists: Kyle Brodziak · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 14:47VANSam GagnerAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 0:14STLVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Jaden Schwartz · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–3
- P3 17:31STLDmitrij JaskinAssists: Vladimir Sobotka, Tage Thompson · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 12:21VANJussi Jokinen: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:01VANSam Gagner: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:55STLTage Thompson: Interference2 min
- P2 12:40STLVince Dunn: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:34VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P3 19:10STLTage Thompson: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Schenn
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestJokinen – Sutter – Boucher5:28
xG 0.27–0.11 (71%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Horvat – Goldobin2:26
xG 0.05–0.06 (47%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Dowd – Archibald – Motte3:19
xG 0.06–0.09 (41%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Horvat – Virtanen – Goldobin8:04
xG 0.16–0.20 (45%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBiega – Pouliot11:57
xG 0.30–0.19 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Stecher13:32
xG 0.45–0.52 (46%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Edler – Stecher2:39
xG 0.03–0.12 (20%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz12:32
xG 0.81–0.15 (84%)attempts 17–8goals 1–0
- Sobotka – Jaskin – Thompson8:50
xG 0.56–0.14 (80%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Thorburn – Sundqvist – Barbashev6:15
xG 0.24–0.17 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Steen – Brodziak – Berglund11:19
xG 0.18–0.12 (60%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Parayko5:40
xG 0.53–0.13 (80%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Pietrangelo – Edmundson6:58
xG 0.41–0.14 (75%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Pietrangelo – Parayko2:21
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).