Sat, Mar 24, 2018·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Arizona Coyotes 2, Florida Panthers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 113 | 111 | 04 | 228 |
| FLA | 09 | 020 | 418 | 447 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:36ARIClayton KellerAssists: Richard Panik, Derek Stepan · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 1:33ARIRichard PanikPPAssists: Derek Stepan, Clayton Keller · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–0
- P3 6:13FLAVincent TrocheckAssists: Jamie McGinn, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P3 9:33FLAVincent TrocheckAssists: Mark Pysyk, Jonathan Huberdeau · Slap, 0.53 xG2–2
- P3 16:15FLADenis MalginGWGAssists: Colton Sceviour, Maxim Mamin · Snap, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 19:46FLAJamie McGinnENAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Vincent Trocheck · Snap, 0.72 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P2 0:40FLAFrank Vatrano: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 8:03FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:03ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Holding2 min
- P2 11:54ARIDylan Strome: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:17ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Holding2 min
- P3 9:59ARIJosh Archibald: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:58ARIJakob Chychrun: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPerlini – Fischer – Strome9:26
xG 0.69–0.38 (64%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Archibald – Domi – Dvorak12:00
xG 0.27–0.60 (31%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Richardson – Cousins – Martinook9:41
xG 0.31–0.69 (31%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
- Stepan – Panik – Keller10:26
xG 0.48–1.30 (27%)attempts 9–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestConnauton – Murphy9:28
xG 1.08–0.41 (72%)attempts 18–9goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Connauton2:16
xG 0.00–0.38 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun18:57
xG 0.46–0.94 (33%)attempts 15–24goals 1–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestMcGinn – Trocheck – Huberdeau4:45
xG 0.72–0.01 (98%)attempts 9–1goals 2–0
- Dadonov – Bjugstad – Barkov14:12
xG 1.12–0.50 (69%)attempts 21–13goals 0–1
- MacKenzie – Sceviour – Mamin2:03
xG 0.17–0.05 (77%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- McGinn – McCann – Malgin2:35
xG 0.05–0.04 (53%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPysyk – Matheson13:50
xG 1.57–0.58 (73%)attempts 21–14goals 2–1
- Petrovic – Weegar16:28
xG 0.90–0.44 (67%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Yandle – Ekblad16:27
xG 0.80–0.96 (46%)attempts 24–22goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).