Mon, Mar 26, 2018·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Florida Panthers 3, New York Islanders 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 116 | 219 | 06 | 341 |
| NYI | 010 | 011 | 011 | 032 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:38FLAKeith YandleGWGAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Aleksander Barkov · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 1:47FLANick BjugstadPPAssists: Jamie McGinn, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 6:09FLAEvgenii DadonovAssists: Keith Yandle, James Reimer · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:04FLAJamie McGinn: Interference2 min
- P1 12:58NYIRoss Johnston: Holding2 min
- P1 15:20NYIAnthony Beauvillier: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 1:24NYIMathew Barzal: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 9:45NYIAnthony Beauvillier: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:55NYIJohn Tavares: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:59FLAFrank Vatrano: Cross checking2 min
- P2 18:26FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Interference2 min
- P3 18:36FLAMicheal Haley: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barkov won the faceoff against Nelson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestMacKenzie – Haley – Vatrano7:18
xG 0.29–0.07 (81%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Bjugstad – Barkov9:20
xG 0.72–0.51 (59%)attempts 12–10goals 2–0
- Sceviour – Malgin – Mamin7:34
xG 0.60–0.56 (52%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- McGinn – Trocheck – Huberdeau7:08
xG 0.27–0.28 (49%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPysyk – Matheson12:09
xG 0.92–0.46 (67%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
- Yandle – Ekblad12:53
xG 0.64–0.72 (47%)attempts 13–15goals 2–0
- Petrovic – Weegar11:51
xG 0.30–0.57 (35%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- Clutterbuck – Wagner – Johnston5:19
xG 0.13–0.12 (52%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Ladd – Nelson – Fritz7:51
xG 0.30–0.36 (45%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Bailey – Tavares – Lee9:06
xG 0.65–0.72 (47%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Eberle – Barzal – Beauvillier10:01
xG 0.34–0.95 (26%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHickey – Pulock12:10
xG 0.72–0.35 (67%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Leddy – Pulock2:26
xG 0.08–0.13 (39%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Boychuk – Leddy8:44
xG 0.51–0.84 (38%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).