Mon, Mar 26, 2018·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 110 | 115 | 18 | 05 | 2 | 438 |
| CHI | 211 | 010 | 18 | 02 | 1 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:15SJSMarcus SorensenAssists: Jannik Hansen · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 15:32CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza, Brandon Saad · Slap, 0.24 xG1–1
- P1 16:50CHIConnor MurphyUnassisted · Slap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P2 16:39SJSEvander KaneAssists: Mikkel Boedker · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- P3 15:41SJSTomas HertlAssists: Barclay Goodrow · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–2
- P3 17:38CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Erik Gustafsson · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 2. SJS Logan Couture scored
- 3. CHI Alex DeBrincat stopped
- 4. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 5. CHI Patrick Sharp scored
- 6. SJS Chris Tierney stopped
- 7. CHI Nick Schmaltz stopped
- 8. SJS Kevin Labanc scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:32CHIBrent Seabrook: Holding2 min
- P1 13:20SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:40CHIDavid Kampf: Holding2 min
- P3 4:04CHIAndreas Martinsen: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:31SJSLogan Couture: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Ejdsell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Boedker – Kane5:07
xG 0.58–0.15 (79%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Hansen – Sorensen – Goodrow7:47
xG 0.46–0.21 (68%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Pavelski – Tierney – Meier5:58
xG 0.22–0.02 (93%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Tierney – Karlsson – Labanc4:06
xG 0.16–0.02 (89%)attempts 8–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun17:55
xG 1.32–0.65 (67%)attempts 20–17goals 2–0
- Martin – Burns13:51
xG 0.72–0.21 (77%)attempts 26–7goals 0–0
- Dillon – DeMelo9:29
xG 0.32–0.19 (63%)attempts 14–8goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHinostroza – Schmaltz – Highmore10:37
xG 0.41–0.20 (67%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Sharp – DeBrincat – Kampf7:32
xG 0.29–0.57 (34%)attempts 9–13goals 2–0
- Anisimov – Jurco – Martinsen11:09
xG 0.18–0.48 (28%)attempts 5–18goals 0–0
- Kane – Saad – Ejdsell11:48
xG 0.63–0.95 (40%)attempts 16–11goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestOesterle – Rutta14:52
xG 0.71–0.34 (68%)attempts 13–15goals 1–1
- Murphy – Gustafsson14:04
xG 0.68–0.36 (65%)attempts 16–13goals 2–1
- Keith – Seabrook14:37
xG 0.15–1.59 (9%)attempts 10–27goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).