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Ice Lab

Right wing · #93

Alex DeBrincat

Age
28
Shoots
Right
Height
173 cm
Weight
80 kg
Born
Farmington Hills, USA
Draft
2016, round 2, #39 (CHI)

Career · 2017–18 to 2026–27

Games
700
Goals
296
Points
600
TOI per game
18:13
xGF% (5v5)
48.6%
Goals above expected
+42.8

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2017–18CHI82282452+614:4818115.5%1219.249.2%
2018–19CHI82413576017:4222018.6%2425.145.8%
2019–20CHI70182745−1017:302078.7%1423.346.3%
2020–21CHI52322456+320:3215520.6%1820.844.9%
2021–22CHI82413778−1320:5127015.2%2833.349.2%
2022–23OTT82273966−3119:0026310.3%3029.550.5%
2023–24DET82274067+117:5423711.4%1927.949.1%
2024–25DET82393170−1317:5224416.0%2933.449.3%
2025–26DET82414485+818:3028714.3%2338.851.1%
2026–27DET4235+219:261118.2%11.757.2%
Total3 teams700296304600−4718:132,07514.3%198253.248.6%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.52100200300400500600700
12m14m16m18m20m22m24m100200300400500600700Game

Player card

How 2017–18 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

95th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /601.3998th pct
  • Assists /601.4389th pct
  • ixG /601.1996th pct
  • Goals above expected+42.898th pct

Play-driving

2nd line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.6%48th pct
  • CF% (5v5)49.9%65th pct
  • Relative xGF%+1.576th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.4488th pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game18:1392nd pct
  • PP time share61.9%94th pct
  • Offensive zone starts71.4%93rd pct
  • Quality of competition24.8%81st pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often DeBrincat wins the draw over 2017–18 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1751+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

41.5%

160–226 · below the 1751 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

42.2%

Opponents won 50.8% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.2% against them.

Wins above average

−30

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.4

386 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

45%47 · +1.633%84 · 0.042%143 · +3.025%8 · +2.758%24 · +0.980%5 · +1.658%12 · +11.827%22 · −1.544%41 · +4.3Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone38.8% 88–139
  • Neutral zone50.0% 48–48
  • Defensive zone38.1% 24–39

By strength

  • Even strength41.6% 134–188
  • Power play40.0% 24–36
  • Shorthanded50.0% 2–2

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +29 after a win, −6 after a loss. Each win was worth 2.1 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2017–185942.4%42.3%
2018–193545.7%46.1%
2019–202035.0%34.9%
2020–214040.0%41.1%
2021–226437.5%38.3%
2022–231952.6%53.0%
2023–243842.1%43.6%
2024–255844.8%46.2%
2025–265038.0%39.3%
2026–27333.3%32.2%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+42.8 goals above expected

0100200300100200300400500600700Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.8 km/h69th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph447th pct
  • Hardest shot121.7 km/h45th pct
  • Distance skated17 km85th pct
  • Offensive-zone time48.5%92nd pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.4 km/h62nd pct

▲ +0.2 km/h since 2024–25

343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 36.1 km/h, 54th percentile (82 games)2022–23: 36.0 km/h, 50th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 34.9 km/h, 13th percentile (82 games)2024–25: 36.2 km/h, 54th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 36.4 km/h, 62nd percentile (82 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

4.541st pct

▲ +0.5 since 2024–25

24681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 3.8, 32nd percentile (82 games)2022–23: 3.7, 36th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 3.6, 31st percentile (82 games)2024–25: 4.0, 34th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 4.5, 41st percentile (82 games)

Distance skated per 60

16.0 km81st pct

▲ +0.2 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 16.3 km, 87th percentile (82 games)2022–23: 16.1 km, 86th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 15.8 km, 70th percentile (82 games)2024–25: 15.9 km, 66th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 16.0 km, 81st percentile (82 games)

Hardest shot

141.8 km/h63rd pct

▼ −0.7 km/h since 2024–25

13013514014515015521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 142.1 km/h, 44th percentile (82 games)2022–23: 139.1 km/h, 31st percentile (82 games)2023–24: 143.7 km/h, 58th percentile (82 games)2024–25: 142.6 km/h, 62nd percentile (82 games)2025–26: 141.8 km/h, 63rd percentile (82 games)

Offensive-zone time

43.5%72nd pct

▼ −0.8 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 45.2%, 89th percentile (82 games)2022–23: 44.7%, 80th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 45.1%, 84th percentile (82 games)2024–25: 44.3%, 80th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 43.5%, 72nd percentile (82 games)