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Ice Lab

Left wing · #81

Kyle Connor

Winnipeg Jets
Age
29
Shoots
Left
Height
185 cm
Weight
83 kg
Born
Shelby Township, USA
Draft
2015, round 1, #17 (WPG)

Career · 2016–17 to 2026–27

Games
700
Goals
329
Points
682
TOI per game
19:50
xGF% (5v5)
48.8%
Goals above expected
+53.6

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2016–17WPG20235−712:13248.3%22.443.4%
2017–18WPG76312657+816:5419216.1%1124.951.5%
2018–19WPG82343266−719:1522715.0%1932.046.6%
2019–20WPG71383573+421:0523915.9%1533.543.5%
2020–21WPG56262450−418:4416615.7%1320.044.0%
2021–22WPG79474693−321:4731714.8%2836.049.9%
2022–23WPG82314980−1120:3227311.4%2932.652.2%
2023–24WPG65342761−619:4322115.4%1925.848.5%
2024–25WPG82415697+1720:2426715.4%2831.052.2%
2025–26WPG82395392−221:3027414.2%1933.849.2%
2026–27WPG5628−121:222722.2%43.250.9%
Total1 team700329353682−1219:502,22714.8%187275.448.8%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.52100200300400500600700
10m15m20m25m100200300400500600700Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2016–17 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

91st percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /601.4298th pct
  • Assists /601.5391st pct
  • ixG /601.1997th pct
  • Goals above expected+53.699th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.8%50th pct
  • CF% (5v5)49.0%54th pct
  • Relative xGF%−0.752nd pct
  • Penalty diff /600.1255th pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game19:5098th pct
  • PP time share63.8%96th pct
  • Offensive zone starts71.2%93rd pct
  • Quality of competition25.3%94th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Alex DeBrincatCHI/OTT/DET0.97
  2. Kirill MarchenkoCBJ0.97
  3. Brock BoeserVAN0.97
  4. Kyle PalmieriNJD/NYI0.96
  5. Cole CaufieldMTL0.95
  6. Dylan GuentherARI/UTA0.95

Faceoffs

How often Connor wins the draw over 2016–17 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1951+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

33.3%

25–50 · below the 1951 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

33.6%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

−12

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

1.1

75 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

25%4 · +5.635%31 · −0.330%10 · +5.833%3 · −1.20%2 · –0%2 · –20%5 · +0.457%14 · −5.90%4 · –Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone34.1% 14–27
  • Neutral zone18.8% 3–13
  • Defensive zone44.4% 8–10

By strength

  • Even strength31.7% 19–41
  • Power play66.7% 4–2
  • Shorthanded22.2% 2–7

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: −8 after a win, −16 after a loss. Each win was worth -0.7 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2016–17250.0%48.2%
2017–18728.6%28.2%
2018–191361.5%61.4%
2019–201315.4%16.5%
2020–211060.0%60.5%
2021–22714.3%16.4%
2022–23728.6%23.0%
2023–24728.6%31.4%
2024–25812.5%13.3%
2025–2610.0%5.0%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+53.6 goals above expected

0100200300100200300400500600700Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.5 km/h60th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph777th pct
  • Hardest shot127.6 km/h61st pct
  • Distance skated17 km89th pct
  • Offensive-zone time47.1%86th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

35.7 km/h35th pct

▼ −0.8 km/h since 2024–25

3535.53636.53737.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 36.7 km/h, 76th percentile (79 games)2022–23: 36.5 km/h, 68th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 36.8 km/h, 78th percentile (65 games)2024–25: 36.4 km/h, 62nd percentile (82 games)2025–26: 35.7 km/h, 35th percentile (82 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

5.552nd pct

▼ −0.5 since 2024–25

24681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 6.0, 58th percentile (79 games)2022–23: 6.4, 64th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 6.8, 67th percentile (65 games)2024–25: 6.0, 58th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 5.5, 52nd percentile (82 games)

Distance skated per 60

16.0 km81st pct

▼ −0.3 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.7 km, 54th percentile (79 games)2022–23: 15.7 km, 66th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 16.1 km, 79th percentile (65 games)2024–25: 16.3 km, 89th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 16.0 km, 81st percentile (82 games)

Hardest shot

146.3 km/h84th pct

▲ +2.6 km/h since 2024–25

13013514014515015521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 148.4 km/h, 71st percentile (79 games)2022–23: 148.6 km/h, 75th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 147.8 km/h, 76th percentile (65 games)2024–25: 143.7 km/h, 69th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 146.3 km/h, 84th percentile (82 games)

Offensive-zone time

43.4%71st pct

▼ −0.8 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%48%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 44.3%, 83rd percentile (79 games)2022–23: 47.0%, 95th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 45.2%, 86th percentile (65 games)2024–25: 44.2%, 80th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 43.4%, 71st percentile (82 games)