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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 26, 2018·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Colorado Avalanche 1, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

1

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 95% of the time.

VGK winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:00Shot by Merrill, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:16Shot by Toninato, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 3:14Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 3:34Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 3:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 3:57Shot by Comeau, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 4:24Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 5:03Shot by Perron, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 5:16Shot by Jost, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 6:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 7:05Shot by Nieto, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 8:38Shot by Alt, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 8:43Shot by Zadorov, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 9:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 9:25Neal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Neal, Perron, McNabb, Haula, Schmidt · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  17. P1 10:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury4v5
  18. P1 11:38Jost: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Neal, Haula, Miller, Theodore, Carpenter · COL Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Jost

  19. P1 11:46Shot by Tatar, saved by Varlamov5v4
  20. P1 11:48Shot by Tuch, saved by Varlamov5v4
  21. P1 12:52Shot by Haula, saved by Varlamov5v4
  22. P1 14:15Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:33Shot by Soderberg, saved by Fleury
  26. P2 1:35Shot by Nieto, saved by Fleury
  27. P2 3:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  28. P2 4:06Jost: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Karlsson, Miller, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Nemeth, Lindholm

  29. P2 4:11Shot by Marchessault, saved by Varlamov5v4
  30. P2 4:14Goal by Tuch (Karlsson, Marchessault)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Tatar, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Nemeth

  31. P2 7:24Shot by Zadorov, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 7:34Shot by Theodore, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 8:21Shot by Marchessault, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 8:38McNabb: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Haula, Marchessault, Schmidt, Tuch · COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Lindholm, Rantanen

  35. P2 8:57Shot by Jost, saved by Fleury4v5
  36. P2 10:34Shot by Barrie, saved by Fleury4v5
  37. P2 12:11Shot by Girard, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 13:39Shot by Comeau, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 13:41Goal by Johnson (Comeau, Nieto)+23 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Tatar, Eakin, Merrill, Hunt · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Barrie, Nieto

  40. P2 13:43Jost: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: VGK Miller, Theodore, Carpenter, Bellemare, Nosek · COL Alt, Kerfoot, Compher, Zadorov, Jost

  41. P2 13:50Shot by Tatar, saved by Varlamov5v4
  42. P2 14:16Goal by Marchessault (Theodore, Karlsson)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Tatar, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Nemeth

  43. P2 15:26Shot by Hunt, saved by Varlamov5v4
  44. P2 18:30Shot by Haula, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 19:08Shot by Nieto, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 19:12Shot by Nieto, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 19:37Shot by Carpenter, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 19:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:11Shot by Tuch, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 0:28Shot by Tuch, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 0:29Shot by Schmidt, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 0:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 0:49Shot by Perron, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 1:06Shot by Haula, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 1:31Goal by Theodore (Haula, Neal)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Neal, Perron, Haula, Merrill, Theodore · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Barrie, Nieto, Girard

  58. P3 1:54Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 2:41Shot by Karlsson, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 3:43Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 8:09Shot by Neal, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 8:12Shot by Haula, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 9:28Shot by Soderberg, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 10:31Perron: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Neal, Perron, McNabb, Haula, Schmidt · COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  65. P3 11:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury4v5
  66. P3 12:20Shot by Soderberg, saved by Fleury4v5
  67. P3 12:18Shot by Carpenter, saved by Varlamov4v5
  68. P3 12:52Shot by Tuch, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 12:57Shot by Schmidt, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 19:44Goal by Karlsson (Marchessault)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt, Tuch · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Barrie, Zadorov, Jost

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final