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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 26, 2018·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Colorado Avalanche 1, Vegas Golden Knights 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 95% of the time.

VGK winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Landeskog–MacKinnon–RantanenKerfoot–Compher–JostComeau–Soderberg–NietoBourque–Toninato–CompherBourque–Toninato–MacKinnonBarrie–ZadorovJohnson–BarrieNemeth–ZadorovJohnson–NemethJohnson–GirardJohnson–AltNemeth–GirardAlt–NemethLindholm–GirardAlt–ZadorovBarrie–GirardBarrie–AltAlt–GirardZadorov–GirardJohnson–Lindholm
Neal–Perron–Haula2:590.02–0.064:290.45–0.102:210.15–0.022:480.10–0.020:350.00–0.001:050.41–0.002:030.11–0.050:550.00–0.090:580.07–0.000:450.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Karlsson–Marchessault–Tuch4:120.83–0.020:320.00–0.000:520.02–0.000:330.07–0.000:480.02–0.001:420.10–0.001:460.56–0.001:030.13–0.000:460.03–0.020:380.00–0.000:380.13–0.00
Carpenter–Bellemare–Nosek1:440.07–0.001:110.00–0.060:430.00–0.020:550.00–0.181:520.07–0.061:430.00–0.000:310.00–0.020:540.00–0.18
Reaves–Tatar–Eakin0:580.00–0.002:060.00–0.031:210.03–0.301:170.03–0.360:350.00–0.001:180.00–0.01
Tatar–Karlsson–Marchessault1:170.02–0.050:380.00–0.000:410.02–0.090:410.01–0.001:210.00–0.05
Eakin–Carpenter–Tuch0:470.00–0.000:480.02–0.000:370.00–0.00
Reaves–Bellemare–Nosek1:170.00–0.05
Karlsson–Marchessault–Carpenter0:410.04–0.000:300.00–0.160:410.04–0.00
McNabb–Schmidt12:180.88–0.140:500.00–0.011:010.00–0.180:590.00–0.021:050.00–0.182:410.09–0.013:100.06–0.082:040.00–0.162:370.56–0.051:000.06–0.001:160.00–0.000:540.03–0.021:100.00–0.021:270.00–0.230:550.13–0.00
Miller–Theodore0:550.00–0.132:310.04–0.044:430.10–0.200:460.07–0.004:410.17–0.160:340.01–0.000:550.00–0.001:010.07–0.000:330.00–0.000:530.00–0.180:530.00–0.00
Merrill–Hunt0:360.00–0.005:140.45–0.051:590.03–0.361:300.00–0.061:310.03–0.300:520.00–0.000:410.41–0.000:540.04–0.000:460.00–0.020:470.00–0.030:490.00–0.010:530.00–0.00
Merrill–Miller0:590.00–0.050:440.00–0.00
Merrill–Theodore0:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKarlsson FMarchessault FTatar FNeal FHaula FPerron FEakin FTuch FCarpenter FBellemare FReaves FNosek FMcNabb DSchmidt DMiller DTheodore DMerrill DHunt DFleury GMacKinnon FLandeskog FRantanen FComeau FSoderberg FNieto FKerfoot FCompher FJost FToninato FBourque FJohnson DNemeth DBarrie DZadorov DGirard DLindholm DAlt DVarlamov G
VGKCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nate SchmidtVGK2525:291:012:3312
Tyson BarrieCOL2824:460:531:5761
Brayden McNabbVGK2624:040:562:3312
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2423:450:592:1741
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2323:261:012:2540
Mikko RantanenCOL2222:251:012:2440
Erik JohnsonCOL2822:100:481:5944
Colin MillerVGK2820:420:441:5724
Shea TheodoreVGK2420:180:511:3934
J.T. CompherCOL2219:470:542:1544
Nikita ZadorovCOL2419:410:492:3414
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2019:030:571:3832
Tyson JostCOL2218:380:511:5733
William KarlssonVGK2218:300:501:2142
Patrik NemethCOL2317:570:472:0305
Carl SoderbergCOL2517:090:411:1535
Erik HaulaVGK2016:460:501:2821
David PerronVGK1816:200:541:3421
James NealVGK1816:080:541:2820
Alex TuchVGK1915:380:491:2032
Alexander KerfootCOL2014:410:441:2533
Samuel GirardCOL1914:400:461:3222
Blake ComeauCOL2214:310:400:5816
Brad HuntVGK1613:560:521:2821
Tomas NosekVGK1713:190:471:5714
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1613:160:501:5724
Matt NietoCOL2013:130:400:5914
Jon MerrillVGK1513:110:531:1522
Ryan CarpenterVGK1613:060:491:2112
Tomas TatarVGK1612:400:481:2041
Cody EakinVGK1612:220:461:2001
Mark AltCOL1610:250:391:2702
Ryan ReavesVGK139:120:421:2410
Gabriel BourqueCOL127:310:380:5911
Dominic ToninatoCOL117:040:391:0012
Anton LindholmCOL115:570:320:5202