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Ice Lab

Centre · #25

Dominic Toninato

Colorado Avalanche Florida Panthers Winnipeg Jets Chicago Blackhawks(traded during the season)
Age
32
Shoots
Left
Height
188 cm
Weight
91 kg
Born
Duluth, USA
Draft
2012, round 5, #126 (TOR)

Career · 2017–18 to 2026–27

Games
199
Goals
13
Points
36
TOI per game
9:07
xGF% (5v5)
46.7%
Goals above expected
−5.3
ShowAll teamsColorado AvalancheFlorida PanthersWinnipeg JetsChicago Blackhawks

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2017–18COL3702207:54250.0%02.753.8%
2018–19COL210106:421100.0%00.254.5%
2019–20FLA464711+411:093810.5%05.845.8%
2020–21WPG2011012:4020.0%00.330.3%
2021–22WPG777714+18:244415.9%16.143.3%
2022–23WPG501107:5670.0%00.540.0%
2023–24WPG15145+710:11128.3%01.662.1%
2024–25WPG500008:1620.0%00.154.9%
2025–26CHI801109:0980.0%01.049.2%
2026–27CHI2000−29:0610.0%00.126.6%
Total4 teams199132336+109:071409.3%118.346.7%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.10.20.30.40.50.620406080100120140160180
6m8m10m12m14m20406080100120140160180Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2017–18 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

8th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.4320th pct
  • Assists /600.7637th pct
  • ixG /600.6027th pct
  • Goals above expected−5.326th pct

Play-driving

Extra / AHL
  • xGF% (5v5)46.7%31st pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.4%24th pct
  • Relative xGF%−3.426th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.2615th pct

Usage

Extra / AHL
  • TOI per game9:075th pct
  • PP time share1.2%11th pct
  • Offensive zone starts39.1%17th pct
  • Quality of competition22.9%8th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Jake LucchiniMIN0.90
  2. Justin KirklandARI0.90
  3. Frederik GauthierTOR0.90
  4. Greg McKeggNYR0.89
  5. Jacob de la RoseMTL0.89
  6. Dennis Rasmussen0.89

Faceoffs

How often Toninato wins the draw over 2017–18 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1754+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

45.1%

390–474 · below the 1754 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

44.6%

Opponents won 49.5% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.5% against them.

Wins above average

−47

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

5.0

864 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

55%198 · +1.046%154 · +2.039%74 · +0.855%42 · +0.822%32 · +1.932%38 · −0.225%32 · +0.453%169 · +0.834%125 · +0.3Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone43.9% 100–128
  • Neutral zone46.5% 159–183
  • Defensive zone44.6% 131–163

By strength

  • Even strength46.1% 368–430
  • Power play47.6% 10–11
  • Shorthanded26.7% 12–33

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +9 after a win, −19 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.0 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2017–1819941.7%42.2%
2018–1940.0%-1.8%
2019–2027247.1%46.4%
2020–2110.0%-5.7%
2021–2220542.4%41.5%
2022–231850.0%49.7%
2023–2410947.7%46.3%
2024–25560.0%59.3%
2025–263855.3%55.9%
2026–271353.8%51.7%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−5.3 goals above expected

0510152050100150Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed33.2 km/h20th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph17th pct
  • Hardest shot123.1 km/h42nd pct
  • Distance skated3 km2nd pct
  • Offensive-zone time36.8%13th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

35.7 km/h38th pct

▼ −0.4 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 36.5 km/h, 69th percentile (77 games)2022–23: 34.2 km/h, 5th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 36.1 km/h, 54th percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 36.1 km/h, 50th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 35.7 km/h, 38th percentile (8 games, too few to rank reliably)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

8.278th pct

▼ −0.5 since 2024–25

24681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 5.3, 52nd percentile (77 games)2022–23: 6.1, 61st percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 7.5, 73rd percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 8.7, 79th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 8.2, 78th percentile (8 games, too few to rank reliably)

Distance skated per 60

16.8 km99th pct

▼ −0.0 km since 2024–25

141516171821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 16.0 km, 75th percentile (77 games)2022–23: 16.6 km, 97th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 16.7 km, 96th percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 16.8 km, 97th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 16.8 km, 99th percentile (8 games, too few to rank reliably)

Hardest shot

117.3 km/h1st pct

▲ +12.5 km/h since 2024–25

8010012014016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 132.1 km/h, 11th percentile (77 games)2022–23: 123.8 km/h, 1st percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 135.1 km/h, 19th percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 104.8 km/h, 0th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 117.3 km/h, 1st percentile (8 games, too few to rank reliably)

Offensive-zone time

45.9%93rd pct

▲ +3.4 points since 2024–25

36%38%40%42%44%46%48%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 37.9%, 8th percentile (77 games)2022–23: 44.5%, 80th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 40.7%, 35th percentile (15 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 42.5%, 60th percentile (5 games, too few to rank reliably)2025–26: 45.9%, 93rd percentile (8 games, too few to rank reliably)