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Ice Lab

Centre · #21

Jake Lucchini

Ottawa Senators Minnesota Wild Nashville Predators(traded during the season)
Age
31
Shoots
Left
Height
183 cm
Weight
82 kg
Born
Trail, CAN
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 2022–23 to 2024–25

Games
54
Goals
3
Points
6
TOI per game
10:08
xGF% (5v5)
47.7%
Goals above expected
−1.8
ShowAll teamsOttawa SenatorsMinnesota WildNashville Predators

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2022–23OTT11101−211:40147.1%11.658.2%
2023–24MIN40235−39:36229.1%03.045.7%
2024–25NSH3000−211:2920.0%00.240.9%
Total3 teams54336−710:08387.9%14.847.7%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.10.20.31020304050
7m8m9m10m11m12m1020304050Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2022–23 to 2024–25 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

4th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

Extra / AHL
  • Goals /600.338th pct
  • Assists /600.334th pct
  • ixG /600.5210th pct
  • Goals above expected−1.844th pct

Play-driving

Extra / AHL
  • xGF% (5v5)47.7%37th pct
  • CF% (5v5)44.2%12th pct
  • Relative xGF%−6.111th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.556th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game10:0811th pct
  • PP time share5.0%27th pct
  • Offensive zone starts34.6%13th pct
  • Quality of competition23.6%20th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Dylan GambrellOTT0.94
  2. Oskar Lindblom0.92
  3. Bo GroulxANA0.89
  4. Zack KassianARI0.88
  5. Marat KhusnutdinovMIN0.88
  6. Austin Czarnik0.88

Faceoffs

How often Lucchini wins the draw over 2022–23 to 2024–25, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 617+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

43.0%

46–61 · below the 617 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

42.0%

Opponents won 49.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 51.0% against them.

Wins above average

−9

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

2.8

107 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

35%20 · −0.333%21 · +0.855%11 · +0.317%6 · 0.080%5 · +2.433%3 · 0.033%6 · +2.264%25 · +2.920%10 · +1.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone40.6% 13–19
  • Neutral zone37.5% 15–25
  • Defensive zone51.4% 18–17

By strength

  • Even strength44.0% 44–56
  • Shorthanded28.6% 2–5

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +13 after a win, −21 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.2 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2022–2320.0%5.2%
2023–2410343.7%42.4%
2024–25250.0%57.9%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−1.8 goals above expected

0123451020304050Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−200+20+40+60

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed33.6 km/h7th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph12nd pct
  • Hardest shot125.5 km/h15th pct
  • Distance skated9 km9th pct
  • Offensive-zone time43.0%63rd pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

33.6 km/h1st pct

▼ −1.4 km/h since 2023–24

33343536373822–2323–2424–252022–23: 35.1 km/h, 21st percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 34.9 km/h, 14th percentile (40 games)2024–25: 33.6 km/h, 1st percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

1.77th pct

▼ −1.5 since 2023–24

024681022–2323–2424–252022–23: 5.6, 56th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 3.3, 24th percentile (40 games)2024–25: 1.7, 7th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)

Distance skated per 60

16.2 km83rd pct

▲ +0.9 km since 2023–24

14.51515.51616.522–2323–2424–252022–23: 15.8 km, 75th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 15.3 km, 32nd percentile (40 games)2024–25: 16.2 km, 83rd percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)

Hardest shot

125.5 km/h3rd pct

▼ −9.1 km/h since 2023–24

12013014015016022–2323–2424–252022–23: 132.1 km/h, 10th percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 134.6 km/h, 17th percentile (40 games)2024–25: 125.5 km/h, 3rd percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)

Offensive-zone time

43.0%66th pct

▲ +4.5 points since 2023–24

36%38%40%42%44%46%22–2323–2424–252022–23: 44.7%, 81st percentile (11 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 38.6%, 14th percentile (40 games)2024–25: 43.0%, 66th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)