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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 27, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Islanders 4, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

New York Islanders

4

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Davidson, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:13Shot by Davidson, saved by Condon
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Nelson, saved by Condon
  5. P1 2:51Nelson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Sexton, McCormick, Claesson, Wolanin · NYI Ladd, Hickey, Nelson, Pulock, Fritz

  6. P1 3:04Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak5v4
  7. P1 4:34Shot by Davidson, saved by Condon5v4
  8. P1 5:14Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Condon5v6
  9. P1 5:14Smith: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Paajarvi, Dzingel, Ceci, Wolanin · NYI Seidenberg, Eberle, Tavares, Mayfield, Beauvillier, Fritz

  10. P1 6:14Shot by Tavares, saved by Condon4v5
  11. P1 6:15Goal by Lee (Tavares, Pelech)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Pyatt, Borowiecki, Ceci · NYI Bailey, Tavares, Lee, Pelech, Barzal

  12. P1 7:20Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak
  13. P1 7:28Shot by Ladd, saved by Condon
  14. P1 8:24Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak
  15. P1 8:43Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak
  16. P1 9:54Shot by Wolanin, saved by Halak
  17. P1 12:13Mayfield: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Pageau, Ceci · NYI Seidenberg, Eberle, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier

  18. P1 12:54Goal by Duchene (Pageau, Ryan)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Pageau · NYI Seidenberg, Clutterbuck, Tavares, Pelech

  19. P1 14:03Shot by Fritz, saved by Condon
  20. P1 14:12Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Condon
  21. P1 14:18Shot by Pelech, saved by Condon
  22. P1 14:49Goal by Karlsson (Duchene, Ryan)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Duchene, Dzingel · NYI Seidenberg, Eberle, Davidson, Barzal, Beauvillier

  23. P1 15:17Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Condon
  24. P1 15:33Shot by Ladd, saved by Condon
  25. P1 17:01Shot by Smith, saved by Halak
  26. P1 18:11Shot by Barzal, saved by Condon
  27. P1 19:11Shot by Ladd, saved by Condon
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:24Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak
  31. P2 1:23Goal by Beauvillier (Barzal, Eberle)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Duchene, Dzingel, Ceci · NYI Eberle, Davidson, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier

  32. P2 3:12Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak
  33. P2 4:04Shot by Karlsson, saved by Halak
  34. P2 4:45Shot by Dzingel, saved by Halak
  35. P2 4:47Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak
  36. P2 5:06Shot by McCormick, saved by Halak
  37. P2 5:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Halak
  38. P2 7:06Shot by Burrows, saved by Halak
  39. P2 8:10Shot by Dzingel, saved by Halak
  40. P2 9:30Clutterbuck: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot · NYI Seidenberg, Clutterbuck, Bailey, Tavares, Mayfield

  41. P2 11:37Shot by Ceci, saved by Halak
  42. P2 12:56Shot by Bailey, saved by Condon
  43. P2 14:23Shot by Mayfield, saved by Condon
  44. P2 15:19Shot by Nelson, saved by Condon
  45. P2 16:16Shot by Mayfield, saved by Condon
  46. P2 17:01Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Paajarvi, Chabot · NYI Seidenberg, Eberle, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier

  47. P2 17:01Seidenberg: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Paajarvi, Chabot · NYI Seidenberg, Eberle, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier

  48. P2 18:07Shot by Pelech, saved by Condon
  49. P2 18:26Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak
  50. P2 18:42Goal by Nelson (Fritz, Ladd)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Karlsson, Paajarvi, Claesson, Pageau · NYI Ladd, Nelson, Davidson, Pelech, Fritz

  51. P2 19:47Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak
  52. P2 19:52Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:59Shot by Pageau, saved by Halak
  56. P3 2:15Shot by Nelson, saved by Condon
  57. P3 3:50Shot by Sexton, saved by Halak
  58. P3 5:32Shot by Karlsson, saved by Halak
  59. P3 5:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Halak
  60. P3 7:46Shot by Wagner, saved by Condon
  61. P3 9:13Shot by Bailey, saved by Condon
  62. P3 9:22Shot by Bailey, saved by Condon
  63. P3 9:41Shot by Duchene, saved by Halak
  64. P3 10:02Dzingel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Karlsson, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Lee, Pulock, Barzal

  65. P3 10:28Shot by Pageau, saved by Halak4v5
  66. P3 10:45Shot by Claesson, saved by Halak4v5
  67. P3 11:20Shot by Burrows, saved by Halak4v5
  68. P3 11:57Shot by Bailey, saved by Condon4v5
  69. P3 12:12Shot by Dzingel, saved by Halak
  70. P3 12:44Shot by Wagner, saved by Condon
  71. P3 12:51Wagner: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot · NYI Seidenberg, Clutterbuck, Wagner, Mayfield, Johnston

  72. P3 13:40Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak5v4
  73. P3 14:54Shot by Smith, saved by Halak
  74. P3 14:58Shot by Ryan, saved by Halak
  75. P3 15:26Goal by Ryan (Duchene, Dzingel)+42 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Duchene, Dzingel, Chabot · NYI Hickey, Eberle, Davidson, Barzal, Beauvillier

  76. P3 16:45Shot by Tavares, saved by Condon
  77. P3 16:53Shot by Pelech, saved by Condon
  78. P3 17:57Goal by Ladd (Hickey, Barzal)+48 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Burrows, Smith, Karlsson, Paajarvi, Chabot · NYI Ladd, Hickey, Pulock, Barzal, Fritz

  79. P3 18:39Shot by Hoffman, saved by Halak6v5
  80. P3 19:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Halak6v5
  81. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  82. P3 0:00Final6v5