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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 30, 2018·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 7, New York Rangers 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

7

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 91% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:14Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Domingue
  3. P1 3:19Shot by Chytil, saved by Domingue
  4. P1 3:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Pavelec
  5. P1 5:01Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  6. P1 5:37Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Domingue
  7. P1 5:44Shot by Gilmour, saved by Domingue
  8. P1 7:33Shot by Stralman, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  10. P1 8:38Shot by Point, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 9:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 10:18Shot by Paquette, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 10:34Shot by Sergachev, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 11:44Shot by Stralman, saved by Pavelec
  15. P1 12:00Shot by Vesey, saved by Domingue
  16. P1 12:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Domingue
  17. P1 14:24Shot by McDonagh, saved by Pavelec
  18. P1 14:59Goal by Skjei (Buchnevich, Desharnais)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Desharnais, O'Gara, Namestnikov, Skjei, Buchnevich · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Gourde, Point

  19. P1 15:20Shot by Stralman, saved by Pavelec
  20. P1 15:26Shot by Cirelli, saved by Pavelec
  21. P1 15:41Shot by Cirelli, saved by Pavelec
  22. P1 16:53Stamkos: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Fast, Zibanejad, Pionk · TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller

  23. P1 19:32Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  24. P1 0:00Stamkos: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev

  25. P1 0:00Buchnevich: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev

  26. P1 0:00Stamkos: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev

  27. P1 0:00Stamkos: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev

  28. P1 0:00Buchnevich: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:42Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  32. P2 1:55Shot by Cirelli, saved by Pavelec
  33. P2 3:15Goal by Paquette (Miller, Sergachev)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zuccarello, Sproul, Namestnikov, Gilmour, Andersson · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev

  34. P2 3:13Shot by Paquette, saved by Pavelec
  35. P2 4:11Shot by Palat, saved by Pavelec
  36. P2 4:25Shot by Skjei, saved by Domingue
  37. P2 4:31Shot by Killorn, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 4:33Goal by Killorn (Cirelli, Hedman)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Spooner, Hayes, O'Gara, Skjei, Chytil · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli

  39. P2 4:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Domingue
  40. P2 5:23Shot by Sproul, saved by Domingue
  41. P2 6:52Shot by Stralman, saved by Pavelec
  42. P2 8:24Shot by Sergachev, saved by Pavelec
  43. P2 9:31Girardi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Desharnais, Vesey, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL Girardi, Killorn, McDonagh, Palat, Cirelli

  44. P2 9:57Shot by Kreider, saved by Domingue5v4
  45. P2 10:04Pionk: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli

  46. P2 12:33Miller: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Desharnais, Sproul, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Gilmour, Buchnevich · TBL Kunitz, Girardi, Hedman, Miller, Paquette

  47. P2 12:44Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Domingue5v4
  48. P2 12:57Namestnikov: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Buchnevich, Pionk · TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Johnson, Point

  49. P2 13:02Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec4v4
  50. P2 14:21Shot by Point, saved by Pavelec4v4
  51. P2 15:01Shot by McDonagh, saved by Pavelec
  52. P2 15:42Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Domingue
  53. P2 16:35Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Domingue
  54. P2 17:36Shot by Skjei, saved by Domingue
  55. P2 17:50Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue
  56. P2 19:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Pavelec
  57. P2 19:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Pavelec
  58. P2 19:14Shot by Girardi, saved by Pavelec
  59. P2 19:16Kreider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Sproul, Zibanejad, Gilmour · TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point

  60. P2 19:16Kreider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Sproul, Zibanejad, Gilmour · TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point

  61. P2 19:16Gourde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Sproul, Zibanejad, Gilmour · TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point

  62. P2 19:55Shot by Miller, saved by Pavelec4v5
  63. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:33Shot by Miller, saved by Pavelec4v5
  66. P3 0:35Goal by Miller (Hedman, Killorn)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Hayes, Fast, Pionk · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller

  67. P3 1:17Shot by Vesey, saved by Domingue
  68. P3 1:42Shot by Spooner, saved by Domingue
  69. P3 1:53Goal by Paquette (Conacher, Kunitz)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Spooner, Hayes, Skjei, Gilmour, Andersson · TBL Kunitz, Stralman, Hedman, Conacher, Paquette

  70. P3 2:18Shot by Chytil, saved by Domingue
  71. P3 2:31Shot by Staal, saved by Domingue
  72. P3 2:38Goal by Point (Gourde)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Spooner, Fast, Zibanejad, Pionk · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Gourde, Point

  73. P3 3:06Shot by Sergachev, saved by Pavelec
  74. P3 4:05Kunitz: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Spooner, Sproul, Vesey, Gilmour, Andersson · TBL Kunitz, Girardi, McDonagh, Conacher, Paquette

  75. P3 5:12Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Domingue5v4
  76. P3 5:31Shot by Pionk, saved by Domingue5v4
  77. P3 6:16Shot by Point, saved by Pavelec
  78. P3 6:47Shot by Kunitz, saved by Pavelec
  79. P3 6:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Pavelec
  80. P3 7:50Shot by Chytil, saved by Domingue
  81. P3 8:14Goal by Chytil (Zuccarello, Hayes)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zuccarello, Hayes, Sproul, Gilmour, Chytil · TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point

  82. P3 8:34Shot by O'Gara, saved by Domingue
  83. P3 9:17Shot by Conacher, saved by Pavelec
  84. P3 10:28Shot by Stamkos, saved by Pavelec
  85. P3 11:37Shot by Johnson, saved by Pavelec
  86. P3 12:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Pavelec
  87. P3 12:35Shot by Kreider, saved by Domingue
  88. P3 13:50Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Domingue
  89. P3 14:47Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Domingue
  90. P3 15:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  91. P3 15:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Pavelec
  92. P3 15:48Shot by Sergachev, saved by Pavelec
  93. P3 15:58Shot by Paquette, saved by Pavelec
  94. P3 16:17Shot by Sergachev, saved by Pavelec
  95. P3 16:31Goal by Kreider (Zibanejad, Fast)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Fast, Zibanejad, Pionk · TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller

  96. P3 17:06Shot by Gourde, saved by Pavelec
  97. P3 18:16Goal by Point (Gourde)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zuccarello, Fast, Sproul, Zibanejad, Skjei · TBL Coburn, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Point

  98. P3 18:44Namestnikov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR O'Gara, Namestnikov, Skjei, Buchnevich, Chytil · TBL Kunitz, Stralman, Hedman, Conacher, Paquette

  99. P3 19:02Shot by Paquette, saved by Pavelec4v5
  100. P3 19:26Goal by Girardi (Paquette, Kunitz)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Hayes, Fast, Pionk · TBL Kunitz, Girardi, McDonagh, Conacher, Paquette

  101. P3 19:55Shot by Killorn, saved by Pavelec
  102. P3 0:00Period end
  103. P3 0:00Final