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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 4, 2018·Madison Square Garden, New York

Nashville Predators 3, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:07Shot by McQuaid, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 4:21Shot by Josi, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 6:40Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 7:26Shot by Vesey, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 8:24Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 10:25Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 10:57Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 11:46Shot by Johansen, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 14:38Shot by Skjei, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 15:54Kreider: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Smith, Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Fiala, Arvidsson

  14. P1 17:30Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  15. P1 17:41Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  16. P1 18:13Shot by Hartman, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 19:35Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 19:58Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:19Shot by Fiala, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P2 1:25Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 1:31Shot by Vesey, saved by Rinne
  24. P2 1:40Shot by Spooner, saved by Rinne
  25. P2 1:48Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 1:54Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 3:41Shot by Lettieri, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 3:54Goal by Forsberg (Turris, Smith)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Namestnikov, Skjei, Howden, Lettieri, Pionk · NSH Subban, Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg

  29. P2 5:06Shot by Vesey, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 5:17Shot by Fiala, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 6:11Shot by Pionk, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 6:25Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 6:54Shot by Subban, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 7:35Shot by Fast, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:37Goal by Fast (Chytil)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McQuaid, Spooner, Fast, Skjei, Chytil · NSH Bonino, Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Hartman

  36. P2 8:13Rinaldo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Smith, Namestnikov, Howden, Lettieri · NSH Hamhuis, Weber, Rinaldo, Salomaki, Sissons

  37. P2 8:13Lettieri: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Smith, Namestnikov, Howden, Lettieri · NSH Hamhuis, Weber, Rinaldo, Salomaki, Sissons

  38. P2 8:54Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  39. P2 9:37Shot by Turris, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  40. P2 10:19Shot by Fast, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 10:29Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 11:19Shot by Subban, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 12:01Shot by Weber, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 12:03Shot by Subban, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 12:35Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 14:09Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 14:13Shot by Spooner, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 16:56Shot by Bonino, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 18:17Shot by Spooner, saved by Rinne
  50. P2 18:35Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 18:41Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne
  52. P2 18:59Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 19:02Shot by Kreider, saved by Rinne
  54. P2 19:59Shot by Hayes, saved by Rinne
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 3:06Shot by Josi, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 3:21Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 3:28Goal by Subban (Ekholm, Sissons)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Smith, Spooner, Howden, Lettieri · NSH Subban, Rinaldo, Ekholm, Salomaki, Sissons

  60. P3 4:22Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 6:56Shot by Vesey, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 7:06Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 8:33Shot by Howden, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 8:49Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 9:09Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 9:17Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 10:52Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 11:50Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 12:15Shot by Johansen, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 14:00Turris: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · NSH Subban, Turris, Ekholm, Hartman, Fiala

  71. P3 14:54Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne5v4
  72. P3 16:49Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 17:03Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne
  74. P3 17:10Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 18:30Subban: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Smith, Kreider, Zuccarello, Fast, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Pionk · NSH Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  76. P3 18:30Namestnikov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v4

    On ice: NYR Smith, Kreider, Zuccarello, Fast, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Pionk · NSH Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  77. P3 18:36Goal by Sissons (Ellis, Ekholm)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons

  78. P3 19:25Goal by Buchnevich (Zibanejad, Zuccarello)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · NSH Hamhuis, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg

  79. P3 19:45Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Rinne5v4
  80. P3 19:58Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Rinne5v4
  81. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  82. P3 0:00Final