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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 4, 2018·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 1, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

Minnesota Wild

1

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 74% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Nieto, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 2:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 2:48Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:00Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 3:10Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 3:19Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 4:24Shot by Nemeth, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 6:14Goal by Parise (Koivu, Niederreiter)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Koivu, Parise, Pateryn, Niederreiter, Seeler

  10. P1 7:26Shot by Nemeth, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 9:51Jost: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Jost · MIN Staal, Pateryn, Zucker, Granlund, Seeler

  12. P1 9:51Pateryn: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Cole, Wilson, Barrie, Kerfoot, Jost · MIN Staal, Pateryn, Zucker, Granlund, Seeler

  13. P1 12:29Goal by Soderberg (Nieto)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Bourque, Nieto, Girard · MIN Fehr, Pateryn, Seeler, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  14. P1 13:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 15:11Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 15:16Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 15:39Shot by Fehr, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 15:41Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 16:14Dumba: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · MIN Hendricks, Suter, Fehr, Foligno, Dumba

  20. P1 16:11Shot by Cole, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 17:37Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  22. P1 18:55Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P1 18:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:03Dries: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Bourque, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, Dumba

  28. P2 1:37Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov4v5
  29. P2 1:39Shot by Nemeth, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  30. P2 1:56Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov4v5
  31. P2 2:27Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov4v5
  32. P2 2:47Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  33. P2 2:46Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  34. P2 3:22Shot by Dries, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 5:01Shot by Wilson, saved by Dubnyk
  36. P2 5:02Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Dubnyk
  37. P2 5:49Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Barrie, Bourque, Nieto · MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, Dumba

  38. P2 5:49Staal: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Cole, Barrie, Bourque, Nieto · MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, Dumba

  39. P2 6:38Shot by Calvert, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  40. P2 6:38Suter: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Johnson, Calvert, MacKinnon, Girard · MIN Hendricks, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle

  41. P2 6:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk4v3
  42. P2 7:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk4v3
  43. P2 8:07Shot by Wilson, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  44. P2 10:26Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen, Nemeth)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Niederreiter, Brodin

  45. P2 10:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  46. P2 11:15Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P2 11:32Shot by Compher, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P2 11:54Shot by Compher, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 12:53Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 13:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  51. P2 15:43Shot by Dries, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P2 16:41Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  53. P2 16:50Barrie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Hendricks, Suter, Fehr, Foligno, Dumba

  54. P2 17:24Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  55. P2 17:54Shot by Calvert, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  56. P2 17:53Shot by Calvert, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  57. P2 18:28Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:13Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wilson, Nemeth, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Jost · MIN Pateryn, Coyle, Seeler, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  61. P3 4:29Shot by Fehr, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 7:36Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 9:43Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 10:01Shot by Pateryn, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 10:36Shot by Compher, saved by Dubnyk
  66. P3 10:41Shot by Girard, saved by Dubnyk
  67. P3 12:11Shot by Calvert, saved by Dubnyk
  68. P3 13:12Shot by Seeler, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 15:11Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 16:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 16:56Shot by Seeler, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 18:07Goal by Rantanen (Landeskog)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Niederreiter, Dumba, Greenway

  73. P3 18:07Greenway: Delaying game bench (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Niederreiter, Dumba, Greenway

  74. P3 18:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  75. P3 18:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  76. P3 19:17Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov
  77. P3 19:40Goal by Compher (Kerfoot, Soderberg)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Kerfoot, Compher, Girard · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Dumba

  78. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  79. P3 0:00Final