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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 9, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

San Jose Sharks 8, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 69% of the time.

PHI winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Patrick, saved by Dell
  3. P1 3:17Goal by Couture, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Gostisbehere, Lindblom, Konecny, Provorov, Patrick · SJS Burns, Couture, Hertl, Ryan, Meier

  4. P1 3:27Shot by Labanc, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 3:28Goal by Pavelski (Labanc, Vlasic)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Couturier, Hagg · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Karlsson, Kane, Labanc

  6. P1 3:53Shot by Suomela, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 3:57Shot by Donskoi, saved by Elliott
  8. P1 3:55Shot by Sorensen, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 4:06Giroux: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Couturier, Hagg · SJS Burns, Donskoi, Sorensen, Ryan, Suomela

  10. P1 5:13Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott4v5
  11. P1 6:26Shot by Giroux, saved by Dell
  12. P1 6:30Shot by Lindblom, saved by Dell
  13. P1 6:33Meier: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Gudas, Laughton, Lindblom, Provorov · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Karlsson, Chartier, Meier

  14. P1 7:41Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dell5v4
  15. P1 3:59Shot by Suomela, saved by Elliott
  16. P1 8:40Shot by Labanc, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 8:46Shot by Meier, saved by Elliott
  18. P1 8:58Shot by Hagg, saved by Dell
  19. P1 9:04Shot by Giroux, saved by Dell
  20. P1 9:12Shot by Giroux, saved by Dell
  21. P1 12:09Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
  22. P1 12:10Shot by Labanc, saved by Elliott
  23. P1 12:21Goal by Pavelski (Labanc)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Provorov · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Karlsson, Kane, Labanc

  24. P1 12:32Shot by Suomela, saved by Elliott
  25. P1 12:40Shot by Suomela, saved by Elliott
  26. P1 12:42Shot by Suomela, saved by Elliott
  27. P1 13:21Shot by Laughton, saved by Dell
  28. P1 14:14Shot by Patrick, saved by Dell
  29. P1 14:47Vorobyev: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Weal, Sanheim, Vorobyev · SJS Burns, Donskoi, Sorensen, Ryan, Suomela

  30. P1 15:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Elliott4v5
  31. P1 16:00Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott4v5
  32. P1 16:27Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott4v5
  33. P1 16:42Goal by Kane (Braun, Donskoi)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Laughton, Hagg, Lindblom · SJS Burns, Braun, Kane, Donskoi, Meier

  34. P1 17:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Elliott
  35. P1 17:22Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott
  36. P1 18:00Shot by Patrick, saved by Dell
  37. P1 18:13Shot by Braun, saved by Elliott
  38. P1 19:47Shot by Laughton, saved by Dell
  39. P1 0:00Period end
  40. P2 0:00Period start
  41. P2 0:56Shot by Kane, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 1:32Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Dell
  43. P2 2:35Shot by Hertl, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 3:39Shot by Pavelski, saved by Elliott
  45. P2 4:05Donskoi: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Lehtera, Gudas, Laughton, Raffl, Hagg · SJS Braun, Dillon, Donskoi, Sorensen, Suomela

  46. P2 4:53Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dell5v4
  47. P2 4:56Goal by Gostisbehere (Giroux, Simmonds)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere · SJS Vlasic, Braun, Goodrow, Karlsson

  48. P2 5:23Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 5:56Shot by Couturier, saved by Dell
  50. P2 6:50Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Dell
  51. P2 7:39Hagg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gudas, Couturier, Hagg · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Karlsson, Kane, Labanc

  52. P2 7:48Shot by Couture, saved by Elliott4v5
  53. P2 10:03Shot by Konecny, saved by Dell
  54. P2 10:14Braun: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Gostisbehere, Hagg, Konecny, Patrick · SJS Braun, Dillon, Goodrow, Karlsson, Chartier

  55. P2 11:43Shot by Burns, saved by Elliott5v4
  56. P2 12:40Gudas: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Gudas, Laughton, Raffl, Hagg · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture, Karlsson, Kane, Labanc

  57. P2 12:49Shot by Couture, saved by Elliott4v5
  58. P2 14:46Goal by Kane (Vlasic, Labanc)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl, Provorov · SJS Vlasic, Kane, Donskoi, Labanc, Meier

  59. P2 15:39Shot by MacDonald, saved by Dell
  60. P2 17:55Shot by MacDonald, saved by Dell
  61. P2 19:33Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Dell
  62. P2 2:19Shot by MacDonald, saved by Dell
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:31Dillon: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gudas, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny, Patrick · SJS Braun, Couture, Dillon, Hertl, Meier

  66. P3 2:15Shot by Couture, saved by Elliott5v4
  67. P3 2:45Shot by Chartier, saved by Elliott
  68. P3 2:49Shot by Braun, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 3:18Shot by Dillon, saved by Elliott
  70. P3 3:19Sanheim: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Laughton, Raffl, Sanheim · SJS Braun, Dillon, Donskoi, Sorensen, Suomela

  71. P3 3:25Shot by Karlsson, saved by Elliott4v5
  72. P3 3:27Goal by Hertl (Karlsson, Burns)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Gudas, Couturier, Raffl, Provorov · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Karlsson, Hertl

  73. P3 3:52Shot by Gudas, saved by Dell
  74. P3 4:13Braun: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Sanheim, Lindblom, Konecny, Patrick · SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun, Chartier, Labanc

  75. P3 4:42Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Dell5v4
  76. P3 5:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Dell5v4
  77. P3 5:35Shot by Lindblom, saved by Dell5v4
  78. P3 5:36Shot by Konecny, saved by Dell5v4
  79. P3 6:35Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dell
  80. P3 7:17Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Dell
  81. P3 8:28Shot by Hertl, saved by Elliott
  82. P3 8:37Shot by Lehtera, saved by Dell
  83. P3 10:09Shot by Suomela, saved by Elliott
  84. P3 10:16Shot by Donskoi, saved by Elliott
  85. P3 10:45Shot by Braun, saved by Elliott
  86. P3 13:04Shot by Donskoi, saved by Elliott
  87. P3 13:52Shot by Dillon, saved by Elliott
  88. P3 15:21Goal by Meier (Labanc, Karlsson)0 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Weal, Sanheim, Vorobyev · SJS Burns, Couture, Ryan, Labanc, Meier

  89. P3 15:52Shot by Lehtera, saved by Dell
  90. P3 16:47Shot by Braun, saved by Elliott
  91. P3 17:00Dillon: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Gudas, Laughton, Raffl, Hagg · SJS Braun, Dillon, Donskoi, Sorensen, Suomela

  92. P3 17:25Shot by Patrick, saved by Dell5v4
  93. P3 18:01Goal by Goodrow (Sorensen)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Lindblom, Konecny, Vorobyev, Patrick · SJS Braun, Sorensen, Goodrow, Ryan

  94. P3 18:29Goal by Simmonds (Voracek, Giroux)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere · SJS Braun, Donskoi, Ryan, Suomela

  95. P3 19:05Shot by Lehtera, saved by Dell
  96. P3 19:57Shot by Dillon, saved by Elliott
  97. P3 19:59Shot by Suomela, saved by Elliott
  98. P3 0:00Period end
  99. P3 0:00Final