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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 11, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.

PIT winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Karlsson–MarchessaultPacioretty–Haula–NosekEakin–Hyka–CarpenterReaves–Carrier–BellemareEngelland–TheodoreHolden–MerrillMcNabb–MillerMerrill–MillerHolden–McNabbMerrill–TheodoreMcNabb–Theodore
Malkin–Kessel–Hagelin1:360.16–0.037:320.32–0.161:460.10–0.181:020.00–0.294:200.26–0.093:200.00–0.131:510.27–0.012:280.07–0.400:400.16–0.00
Cullen–Sheahan–Sprong0:510.04–0.006:150.05–0.171:050.04–0.042:540.05–0.201:350.00–0.012:460.00–0.03
Crosby–Rust–Guentzel6:350.17–0.340:490.00–0.003:430.00–0.291:160.07–0.090:390.00–0.090:570.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Hornqvist–Brassard–Simon0:380.00–0.005:430.22–0.080:530.08–0.003:350.08–0.041:220.05–0.001:060.15–0.010:530.00–0.030:450.02–0.06
Crosby–Hornqvist–Guentzel2:380.06–0.011:200.02–0.042:040.07–0.050:430.00–0.001:330.02–0.00
Brassard–Rust–Simon2:380.03–0.011:050.05–0.171:020.00–0.172:410.08–0.01
Letang–Dumoulin7:250.23–0.253:330.18–0.013:280.13–0.051:570.00–0.046:530.13–0.332:160.07–0.094:270.09–0.021:540.00–0.000:510.16–0.00
Oleksiak–Riikola0:540.09–0.161:280.03–0.005:540.22–0.245:150.15–0.163:560.19–0.126:120.10–0.371:290.03–0.042:310.15–0.001:080.00–0.03
Johnson–Schultz4:070.06–0.205:150.16–0.111:000.06–0.132:380.00–0.304:130.13–0.012:450.00–0.133:400.27–0.112:400.07–0.470:390.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGuentzel FHornqvist FCrosby FHagelin FMalkin FKessel FSimon FRust FBrassard FSheahan FCullen FSprong FDumoulin DLetang DSchultz DJohnson DOleksiak DRiikola DDeSmith GSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FHaula FPacioretty FNosek FHyka FCarpenter FCarrier FBellemare FReaves FEakin FEngelland DTheodore DMcNabb DMiller DMerrill DHolden DSubban G
PITVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2824:070:521:3516
Brian DumoulinPIT2822:480:491:3506
Shea TheodoreVGK2622:440:521:4480
Jon MerrillVGK2320:000:521:5942
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2019:270:581:3570
Deryk EngellandVGK2318:370:491:4561
William KarlssonVGK1918:340:591:1880
Nick HoldenVGK2518:320:441:1652
Reilly SmithVGK1918:180:581:1880
Jamie OleksiakPIT2318:150:481:1904
Juuso RiikolaPIT2218:080:491:1903
Justin SchultzPIT2417:560:451:0524
Jack JohnsonPIT2517:400:421:0627
Colin MillerVGK2117:090:491:3961
Brayden McNabbVGK2116:540:481:0861
Erik HaulaVGK1716:500:591:4422
Sidney CrosbyPIT2016:440:501:1523
Max PaciorettyVGK1616:401:032:1432
Bryan RustPIT2016:360:501:1904
Tomas NosekVGK1816:180:541:3223
Derick BrassardPIT1716:020:571:2803
Carl HagelinPIT2015:550:481:0823
Jake GuentzelPIT1915:380:491:0913
Evgeni MalkinPIT1715:330:551:1232
Phil KesselPIT1715:200:541:1232
Patric HornqvistPIT1915:180:481:2934
Ryan CarpenterVGK1714:040:501:1201
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1413:541:001:5140
Dominik SimonPIT1513:280:541:2903
Matt CullenPIT1713:070:461:5014
Ryan ReavesVGK1313:001:001:5140
Cody EakinVGK1412:420:541:1810
William CarrierVGK1212:421:041:5130
Tomas HykaVGK1612:420:481:1801
Riley SheahanPIT1712:340:441:4514
Daniel SprongPIT1210:510:541:3902