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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 13, 2018·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Minnesota Wild 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 90% of the time.

MIN winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Hamilton, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 2:06Shot by de Haan, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 3:50Shot by Staal, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 7:02Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 7:50Shot by Ferland, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 8:12Goal by Staal (van Riemsdyk, Williams)+18 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Granlund, Brodin · CAR Williams, Staal, Pesce, van Riemsdyk, Foegele

  8. P1 8:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 8:56Shot by Spurgeon, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 9:02Brown: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Brodin, Brown · CAR de Haan, Faulk, McGinn, Zykov, Necas

  11. P1 9:15Shot by Teravainen, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  12. P1 9:44Foligno: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Hendricks, Suter, Foligno, Dumba · CAR Williams, Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Aho

  13. P1 9:53Shot by Williams, saved by Dubnyk3v5
  14. P1 10:07Shot by Staal, saved by Dubnyk3v5
  15. P1 10:14Shot by Teravainen, saved by Dubnyk3v5
  16. P1 10:28Shot by Teravainen, saved by Dubnyk3v5
  17. P1 10:54Shot by Hamilton, saved by Dubnyk3v5
  18. P1 11:10Shot by Ferland, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  19. P1 12:10Shot by Pesce, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 12:15Shot by Williams, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 14:10Shot by de Haan, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P1 14:45Shot by Brodin, saved by McElhinney
  23. P1 15:30Pesce: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Dumba · CAR Staal, Slavin, Zykov, Pesce, Foegele

  24. P1 16:07Shot by Spurgeon, saved by McElhinney5v4
  25. P1 16:09Goal by Coyle (Spurgeon, Dumba)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Dumba · CAR Staal, de Haan, Faulk, McGinn

  26. P1 16:52Shot by Slavin, saved by Dubnyk
  27. P1 17:08Shot by Aho, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P1 17:11Coyle: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Suter, Fehr, Coyle, Niederreiter, Dumba · CAR Ferland, Teravainen, Pesce, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  29. P1 19:47Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P1 19:57Shot by de Haan, saved by Dubnyk
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:22Shot by Slavin, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 0:44Shot by Martinook, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 2:58Shot by Pateryn, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 3:25Shot by Hamilton, saved by Dubnyk
  37. P2 3:54Shot by Martinook, saved by Dubnyk
  38. P2 3:59Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 4:28Shot by Martinook, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 4:29Svechnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Hendricks, Suter, Foligno, Brown, Dumba · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  41. P2 4:29Brown: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Hendricks, Suter, Foligno, Brown, Dumba · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  42. P2 6:29Shot by Slavin, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  43. P2 6:58Shot by Pateryn, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 7:25Shot by Williams, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 9:58Shot by Brown, saved by McElhinney
  46. P2 10:31Shot by Williams, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P2 11:13Shot by Foegele, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P2 12:39Coyle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Fehr, Coyle, Niederreiter, Brodin, Dumba · CAR Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  49. P2 13:49Shot by Williams, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  50. P2 14:34Svechnikov: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Parise, Fehr, Spurgeon, Brodin · CAR Ferland, Hamilton, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov

  51. P2 14:53Zucker: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, Niederreiter · CAR Staal, McGinn, Pesce, van Riemsdyk

  52. P2 14:53Zucker: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, Niederreiter · CAR Staal, McGinn, Pesce, van Riemsdyk

  53. P2 15:13Goal by Pesce (Aho, Teravainen)4v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Granlund, Dumba · CAR Teravainen, Pesce, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  54. P2 17:56Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  55. P2 18:18Shot by Hamilton, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  56. P2 18:56Shot by de Haan, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P2 19:02Shot by Slavin, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P2 19:12Wallmark: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Spurgeon, Zucker, Brodin, Greenway · CAR de Haan, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  59. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  60. P2 17:25Shot by Fehr, saved by McElhinney4v5
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:20Goal by Spurgeon (Koivu, Parise)+25 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Dumba · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Foegele, Wallmark

  63. P3 2:06Shot by Ferland, saved by Dubnyk
  64. P3 3:11Shot by Foegele, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 4:50Faulk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Brodin · CAR Ferland, Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho

  66. P3 5:21Shot by Staal, saved by McElhinney5v4
  67. P3 5:27Shot by Suter, saved by McElhinney5v4
  68. P3 5:41Goal by Zucker (Granlund, Suter)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, Niederreiter · CAR de Haan, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark

  69. P3 7:16Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk
  70. P3 7:26Seeler: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Fehr, Pateryn, Coyle, Niederreiter, Seeler · CAR Williams, Staal, de Haan, Faulk, Foegele

  71. P3 7:48Shot by Ferland, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  72. P3 8:16Shot by Slavin, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  73. P3 8:35Shot by Slavin, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  74. P3 8:38Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  75. P3 8:58Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  76. P3 9:15Shot by Aho, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  77. P3 9:19Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  78. P3 9:22Goal by Aho (Faulk, Teravainen)4v5+34 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Granlund, Brodin · CAR Williams, Staal, Faulk, Teravainen, Aho

  79. P3 10:44Shot by Fehr, saved by McElhinney
  80. P3 11:24Hendricks: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Hendricks, Pateryn, Foligno, Seeler, Brown · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Teravainen, Martinook, Wallmark

  81. P3 11:34Shot by Hamilton, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  82. P3 11:40Svechnikov: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Dumba · CAR Ferland, Hamilton, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov

  83. P3 11:56Shot by Zucker, saved by McElhinney4v4
  84. P3 12:00Shot by Dumba, saved by McElhinney4v4
  85. P3 12:01de Haan: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Dumba · CAR Williams, Staal, de Haan, Faulk

  86. P3 12:01Staal: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Dumba · CAR Williams, Staal, de Haan, Faulk

  87. P3 12:42Shot by Granlund, saved by McElhinney4v4
  88. P3 13:24Shot by Granlund, saved by McElhinney5v4
  89. P3 15:27Shot by Greenway, saved by McElhinney
  90. P3 15:42Shot by Zucker, saved by McElhinney
  91. P3 15:47Goal by Granlund (Parise)+43 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Pateryn, Granlund, Seeler · CAR Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  92. P3 16:23Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Spurgeon, Zucker, Brodin, Greenway · CAR Ferland, Teravainen, Pesce, van Riemsdyk, Aho

  93. P3 17:27Shot by Parise, saved by McElhinney4v5
  94. P3 17:41Shot by Brodin, saved by McElhinney4v5
  95. P3 17:50Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  96. P3 18:06Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk4v6
  97. P3 18:04Shot by Teravainen, saved by Dubnyk4v6
  98. P3 18:38Shot by Ferland, saved by Dubnyk5v6
  99. P3 18:51Goal by Williams (Faulk, Aho)5v6+48 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Staal, Suter, Fehr, Pateryn · CAR Williams, Staal, Faulk, Ferland, Teravainen, Aho

  100. P3 19:15Shot by Martinook, saved by Dubnyk
  101. P3 0:00Period end
  102. OT 0:00Period start
  103. OT 0:44Shot by Aho, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  104. OT 1:53Shot by Faulk, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  105. OT 2:57Goal by Aho (Williams, Pesce)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Coyle · CAR Williams, Pesce, Aho

  106. OT 2:57Period end3v3
  107. OT 2:57Final3v3