Thu, Oct 25, 2018·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 1, Arizona Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 09 | 111 | 08 | 128 |
| ARI | 08 | 111 | 311 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:43ARIAlex GoligoskiAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Nick Cousins · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 2:23VANDarren ArchibaldAssists: Troy Stecher, Adam Gaudette · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 3:55ARIClayton KellerGWGAssists: Alex Galchenyuk · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 12:16ARIBrad RichardsonSHAssists: Kevin Connauton · Wrist, 0.32 xG1–3
- P3 18:00ARILawson CrouseENAssists: Michael Grabner · Wrist, 0.47 xG1–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:59VANLoui Eriksson: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:58ARIVinnie Hinostroza: Interference2 min
- P2 5:43VANDerrick Pouliot: Interference2 min
- P2 9:18VANAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:18ARILawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:13VANAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:13VANAntoine Roussel: Misconduct10 min
- P2 14:13ARILawson Crouse: Misconduct10 min
- P3 12:05ARIJason Demers: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:05ARIVinnie Hinostroza: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cousins won the faceoff against Sutter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestArchibald – Goldobin – Gaudette7:06
xG 0.31–0.18 (64%)attempts 9–5goals 1–1
- Sutter – Roussel – Virtanen7:28
xG 0.10–0.24 (30%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Granlund – Schaller – Motte6:08
xG 0.09–0.36 (19%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Leipsic – Horvat13:00
xG 0.41–0.72 (37%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudbranson – Hutton14:06
xG 0.29–0.16 (65%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Biega – Del Zotto14:35
xG 0.33–0.45 (42%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Pouliot – Stecher10:10
xG 0.38–0.86 (31%)attempts 12–12goals 1–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestGalchenyuk – Crouse – Keller5:50
xG 0.50–0.05 (91%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza6:25
xG 0.39–0.11 (78%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Stepan – Perlini – Fischer9:31
xG 0.35–0.17 (67%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Archibald – Cousins – Strome5:08
xG 0.24–0.18 (58%)attempts 6–3goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestConnauton – Oesterle6:55
xG 0.45–0.16 (74%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson8:43
xG 0.34–0.13 (72%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Demers – Ekman-Larsson13:11
xG 0.47–0.38 (55%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).