Mon, Nov 5, 2018·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 28 | 111 | 215 | 534 |
| ARI | 08 | 113 | 115 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:34PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Sean Couturier, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 19:10PHIShayne GostisbeherePPAssists: Claude Giroux, Travis Konecny · Slap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 1:14ARIAlex GalchenyukPPAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 17:05PHISean CouturierGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–1
- P3 6:35PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Wayne Simmonds · Backhand, 0.12 xG4–1
- P3 14:04ARIRichard PanikAssists: Michael Grabner, Kevin Connauton · Tip-in, 0.09 xG4–2
- P3 18:11PHIOskar LindblomENAssists: Nolan Patrick, Jakub Voracek · Backhand, 0.69 xG5–2
Penalties (16)
- P1 16:09ARIKevin Connauton: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:06ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 0:59PHIOskar Lindblom: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 1:34PHIRobert Hagg: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:57ARIAlex Galchenyuk: Holding2 min
- P2 10:01PHIScott Laughton: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:50PHIChristian Folin: Holding2 min
- P3 19:40PHIChristian Folin: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:40ARILawson Crouse: Interference2 min
- P3 19:40ARILawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:40PHIChristian Folin: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00PHIRadko Gudas: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00ARIKevin Connauton: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00ARIKevin Connauton: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00ARIJordan Oesterle: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 0:00PHIRadko Gudas: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestSimmonds – Weise – Weal10:51
xG 0.46–0.25 (65%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny10:06
xG 0.32–0.21 (61%)attempts 12–8goals 2–0
- Lehtera – Laughton – Aube-Kubel3:25
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Voracek – Lindblom – Patrick9:52
xG 0.29–0.64 (31%)attempts 7–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudas – Sanheim10:54
xG 0.35–0.21 (63%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Gudas – Provorov2:31
xG 0.20–0.12 (63%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Folin13:54
xG 0.22–0.62 (26%)attempts 9–16goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPanik – Galchenyuk – Keller3:53
xG 0.39–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Panik – Perlini – Strome3:05
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Hinostroza7:20
xG 0.17–0.12 (59%)attempts 3–8goals 0–2
- Stepan – Cousins – Fischer9:28
xG 0.48–0.45 (52%)attempts 21–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson17:14
xG 0.98–0.56 (64%)attempts 20–11goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson5:22
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – Connauton4:36
xG 0.14–0.01 (90%)attempts 8–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).