Thu, Nov 8, 2018·TD Garden, Boston
Vancouver Canucks 8, Boston Bruins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 18 | 514 | 211 | 833 |
| BOS | 15 | 311 | 112 | 528 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:46VANBo HorvatUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 13:41BOSMatt GrzelcykAssists: David Krejci, Jake DeBrusk · Slap, 0.00 xG1–1
- P2 0:36BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–2
- P2 7:02VANLoui ErikssonAssists: Erik Gudbranson, Markus Granlund · Backhand, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 8:28VANBen HuttonPPAssists: Bo Horvat, Nikolay Goldobin · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–2
- P2 9:00BOSJake DeBruskAssists: David Krejci, Joakim Nordstrom · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–3
- P2 13:23VANLoui ErikssonPPAssists: Ben Hutton, Brendan Leipsic · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–3
- P2 14:53VANAntoine RousselAssists: Markus Granlund, Michael Del Zotto · Tip-in, 0.18 xG5–3
- P2 17:18BOSJake DeBruskPPAssists: Torey Krug, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.11 xG5–4
- P2 19:26VANErik GudbransonGWGAssists: Bo Horvat, Loui Eriksson · Wrist, 0.01 xG6–4
- P3 9:40VANBo HorvatSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG7–4
- P3 11:12VANJake VirtanenAssists: Nikolay Goldobin, Elias Pettersson · Snap, 0.17 xG8–4
- P3 13:38BOSDanton HeinenPPAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, David Krejci · Tip-in, 0.14 xG8–5
Penalties (15)
- P2 3:58BOSSteven Kampfer: Interference2 min
- P2 7:11BOSMatt Grzelcyk: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:30BOSSteven Kampfer: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 16:13VANBo Horvat: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 0:38VANBo Horvat: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:32BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:27VANBo Horvat: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:52VANBen Hutton: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:11BOSJake DeBrusk: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:11VANTroy Stecher: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:50VANBen Hutton: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 17:48VANDarren Archibald: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:48BOSTorey Krug: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:48BOSTorey Krug: Instigator2 min
- P3 17:48BOSTorey Krug: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestVirtanen – Goldobin – Pettersson2:14
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Schaller – Horvat5:18
xG 0.09–0.09 (49%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Goldobin – Pettersson5:12
xG 0.02–0.08 (22%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Roussel – Granlund – Motte5:22
xG 0.17–0.25 (41%)attempts 3–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Stecher12:20
xG 0.64–0.38 (62%)attempts 15–12goals 2–1
- Gudbranson – Hutton10:38
xG 0.28–0.33 (46%)attempts 10–10goals 2–1
- Tanev – Pouliot15:28
xG 0.27–0.45 (37%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Nordstrom – DeBrusk9:18
xG 0.49–0.29 (63%)attempts 13–7goals 2–0
- Backes – Heinen – Bjork9:28
xG 0.19–0.06 (74%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Wagner – Kuraly – Acciari5:37
xG 0.17–0.11 (60%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak12:31
xG 0.33–0.50 (40%)attempts 8–14goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestKampfer – Grzelcyk9:52
xG 0.31–0.09 (77%)attempts 9–4goals 2–0
- Moore – Krug10:07
xG 0.48–0.34 (59%)attempts 14–7goals 1–2
- Chara – Carlo8:34
xG 0.12–0.17 (41%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).