Sat, Nov 10, 2018·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 17 | 39 | 02 | 01 | 3 | 519 |
| CBJ | 111 | 312 | 011 | 04 | 2 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:54NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Pavel Buchnevich, Vladislav Namestnikov · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 19:26CBJCam AtkinsonPPAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Seth Jones · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 6:57NYRPavel BuchnevichAssists: Jimmy Vesey · Snap, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 8:30NYRChris KreiderAssists: Kevin Hayes, Tony DeAngelo · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 11:49CBJPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Seth Jones, Artemi Panarin · Slap, 0.02 xG3–2
- P2 12:21CBJNick FolignoAssists: Boone Jenner, Markus Nutivaara · Backhand, 0.13 xG3–3
- P2 16:03CBJAlexander WennbergSHAssists: Seth Jones · Snap, 0.13 xG3–4
- P2 19:07NYRJimmy VeseyAssists: Kevin Hayes, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.21 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson scored
- 2. NYR Mika Zibanejad scored
- 3. CBJ Artemi Panarin stopped
- 4. NYR Kevin Shattenkirk scored
- 5. CBJ Pierre-Luc Dubois scored
- 6. NYR Ryan Spooner stopped
- 7. CBJ Anthony Duclair stopped
- 8. NYR Kevin Hayes stopped
- 9. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 10. NYR Jimmy Vesey scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:43CBJJosh Anderson: Boarding2 min
- P1 17:58NYRLias Andersson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:05NYRBrady Skjei: Holding2 min
- P2 15:34CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:15CBJRiley Nash: Fighting5 min
- P3 10:15NYRTony DeAngelo: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Zibanejad – Namestnikov – Buchnevich10:01
xG 0.46–0.47 (49%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
- Fast – Vesey – Howden11:58
xG 0.45–0.53 (46%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Kreider – Hayes – Andersson9:46
xG 0.28–0.42 (40%)attempts 8–13goals 1–1
- McLeod – Spooner – Chytil7:19
xG 0.05–0.44 (10%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Claesson12:02
xG 0.34–0.10 (78%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- Claesson – Pionk2:27
xG 0.26–0.04 (87%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Staal – Shattenkirk2:29
xG 0.19–0.02 (92%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Jenner – Anderson16:07
xG 0.86–0.19 (82%)attempts 16–4goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg2:25
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Nash – Hannikainen7:02
xG 0.24–0.14 (63%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Duclair – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg2:41
xG 0.22–0.27 (45%)attempts 3–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Nutivaara17:43
xG 0.91–0.51 (64%)attempts 21–11goals 1–1
- Murray – Jones17:34
xG 0.75–0.36 (68%)attempts 18–10goals 1–1
- Harrington – Werenski10:04
xG 0.23–0.11 (67%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).