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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 17, 2018·Madison Square Garden, New York

Florida Panthers 2, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Trocheck, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 0:27Shot by Chytil, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 0:48Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 2:17Shot by Claesson, saved by Luongo
  6. P1 2:27Shot by Andersson, saved by Luongo
  7. P1 3:03Goal by Chytil (Hayes, Kreider)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Hayes, Chytil, Pionk · FLA Sceviour, Matheson, Ekblad, Lammikko, Mamin

  8. P1 3:45Shot by Vatrano, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 4:40Goal by Hoffman (Dadonov, Barkov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Fast, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Pionk · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Pysyk, Barkov

  10. P1 4:50Shot by McCann, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 4:50Andersson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McLeod, Shattenkirk, Claesson, Lettieri, Andersson · FLA Brouwer, Bjugstad, Weegar, McCann, Kiselevich

  12. P1 5:36Shot by Barkov, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  13. P1 5:45Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  14. P1 6:10Shot by Hayes, saved by Luongo4v5
  15. P1 6:50Shot by Yandle, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  16. P1 7:40Shot by Mamin, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 8:34Lettieri: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR McLeod, Smith, Lettieri, Andersson, Pionk · FLA Brouwer, Hoffman, Bjugstad, Weegar, McCann, Kiselevich

  18. P1 9:56Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  19. P1 10:11Goal by Ekblad (Matheson, Hoffman)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Claesson, Vesey, Howden · FLA Hoffman, Bjugstad, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano

  20. P1 10:43Shot by Hayes, saved by Luongo
  21. P1 11:49Goal by Smith (Andersson, Kreider)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McLeod, Smith, Kreider, DeAngelo, Andersson · FLA Hoffman, Matheson, Barkov, Ekblad, Mamin

  22. P1 14:00Shot by Hayes, saved by Luongo
  23. P1 14:37Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Luongo
  24. P1 15:58Shot by McCann, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 16:29Shot by McCann, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 16:55Namestnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Hayes, Namestnikov, Chytil, Pionk · FLA Trocheck, Huberdeau, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano

  27. P1 16:55Matheson: Embellishment (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Staal, Hayes, Namestnikov, Chytil, Pionk · FLA Trocheck, Huberdeau, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano

  28. P1 17:36Shot by Weegar, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  29. P1 18:21Shot by Claesson, saved by Luongo4v4
  30. P1 18:54Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Luongo4v4
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:50Shot by Pysyk, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 2:37Goal by Namestnikov (Zibanejad)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Fast, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Pionk · FLA Brouwer, Bjugstad, Weegar, McCann, Kiselevich

  35. P2 3:39Shot by Barkov, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 5:10Shot by Ekblad, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 5:22Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 6:07Shot by Kreider, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 7:10Shot by Lammikko, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 8:07Shot by Yandle, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 9:17Shot by Chytil, saved by Luongo
  42. P2 9:44Shot by McCann, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 9:44Bjugstad: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Shattenkirk, Claesson, Strome, Vesey, Howden · FLA Brouwer, Bjugstad, Weegar, McCann, Kiselevich

  44. P2 10:43Shot by Howden, saved by Luongo5v4
  45. P2 10:54Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Luongo5v4
  46. P2 12:00Shot by Dadonov, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 13:30Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 15:16Shot by Trocheck, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 15:22Shot by Mamin, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 15:35Hayes: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Kreider, Hayes, DeAngelo, Chytil · FLA Trocheck, Ekblad, Vatrano, Mamin, Kiselevich

  51. P2 15:46Shot by Matheson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  52. P2 17:02Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  53. P2 19:24Shot by Matheson, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:37Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Luongo
  57. P3 2:07Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 2:22Shot by Weegar, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 3:32Shot by Vatrano, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 3:46Shot by Matheson, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 4:45Shot by Fast, saved by Luongo
  62. P3 6:02Shot by Kiselevich, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 6:26Shot by Lettieri, saved by Luongo
  64. P3 7:08Shot by Vatrano, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 7:14Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 7:22Shot by Chytil, saved by Luongo
  67. P3 7:34Trocheck: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Hayes, Chytil, Pionk · FLA Trocheck, Huberdeau, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano

  68. P3 7:13Shot by Ekblad, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 7:56Goal by Kreider (Pionk, Lundqvist)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Namestnikov, Chytil, Pionk · FLA Sceviour, Matheson, Barkov, Ekblad

  70. P3 10:15Shot by Ekblad, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 10:21Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 11:39Shot by Matheson, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 12:21Shot by Vesey, saved by Luongo
  74. P3 15:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Luongo
  75. P3 16:51Shot by Ekblad, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  76. P3 18:06Shot by Trocheck, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  77. P3 19:46Shot by Dadonov, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  78. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  79. P3 0:00Final5v6